Results 31 to 40 of about 648 (140)
The Effects of External Macroeconomic Shocks and Uncertainty on Bangladesh's Fiscal Sustainability
ABSTRACT In recent years, Bangladesh has adopted a deficit‐biased fiscal policy, supported by robust GDP growth and relatively low interest rates, capitalizing on its access to concessional financing. However, Bangladesh's graduation to lower‐middle‐income status and its gradual integration into the global economy have exposed the country to external ...
Mohammad Mahabub Alam
wiley +1 more source
How Does Progressivity Affect the Tax Cut Multiplier?
ABSTRACT How does the targeting of personal income tax cuts affect the output multiplier? This paper provides quantitative evidence using a heterogeneous‐agent New‐Keynesian model calibrated to match US distributions of income, wealth, marginal tax rates, and marginal propensities to consume.
Christian Gillitzer
wiley +1 more source
A Markov-Switching DSGE model for measuring the output gap in Brazil
The output gap, while inherently unobservable, plays a pivotal role in informing policymakers due to its significant implications for forecasting inflation rates and understanding the mechanisms of monetary policy transmission.
Eleonora de Oliveira +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Financial Fragility and the Fiscal Multiplier
Abstract We show that undercapitalized banks with large holdings of government bonds subject to sovereign default risk lead to a new crowding‐out channel: deficit‐financed fiscal stimuli lead to higher bond yields, triggering capital losses for the banks. Banks then cut back loans, which reduces fiscal multipliers.
CHRISTIAAN VAN DER KWAAK +1 more
wiley +1 more source
Interest Rate Pegs and the Reversal Puzzle: On the Role of Anticipation
Abstract We revisit the reversal puzzle: a counterintuitive contraction of inflation in response to an interest rate peg. We show that its occurrence is intimately related to the degree of agents' anticipation. If agents perfectly anticipate the peg, reversals occur depending on the duration of the peg.
RAFAEL GERKE +2 more
wiley +1 more source
CBDC as Imperfect Substitute to Bank Deposits: A Macroeconomic Perspective
Abstract The impact of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is analyzed in a closed‐economy model with monopolistic competition in banking and where CBDC is an imperfect substitute with bank deposits. The design of CBDC is characterized by its interest rate, its substitutability with bank deposits, and its relative liquidity.
PHILIPPE BACCHETTA, ELENA PERAZZI
wiley +1 more source
Predictive performance of DSGE model for small open economy – the case study of Czech Republic
Multivariate time series forecasting is applied in a wide range of economic activities related to regional competitiveness and is the basis of almost all macroeconomic analysis.
Tomáš Jeřábek +2 more
doaj +1 more source
The Pathology of Financial Misalignment in Iran\'s Pension System Considering Emerging Diseases and Population Aging Phenomenon [PDF]
Today, the share of government aid from the public expenditures to support military and civil servants' pension funds has increased from about 11% in 2013 to 19% in 2021 and this trend has been increasing in recent years.
naeim shokri +4 more
doaj
Policy Biases in a Model with Labor‐Market Frictions
Abstract We develop a model with labor‐market matching frictions that is subject to a range of shocks, including shocks to matching efficiency and bargaining power, and use the model to examine how monetary policy should respond to such shocks. We show that optimal monetary policy responds effectively to these shocks, producing economic outcomes that ...
RICHARD DENNIS, TATIANA KIRSANOVA
wiley +1 more source
Does evidence challenge the DSGE model?
DSGE are for a time the favorite models in the simulation of monetary policies at the central banks. Two of its basic assumptions are discussed in this paper: (a) the absence of endogenous nonlinearities and the exogenous nature of shocks and (b) the ...
Tanya Araújo +3 more
doaj +1 more source

