In this paper, we examine the influencing factors of inflation persistence in China’s economy using the DSGE approach. Two monetary DSGE models are estimated, namely, a standard CIA model and a CIA model with a Taylor rule. This article uses the Bayesian
Liao Ying, Ridong Hu
doaj +1 more source
The Pathology of Financial Misalignment in Iran\'s Pension System Considering Emerging Diseases and Population Aging Phenomenon [PDF]
Today, the share of government aid from the public expenditures to support military and civil servants' pension funds has increased from about 11% in 2013 to 19% in 2021 and this trend has been increasing in recent years.
naeim shokri +4 more
doaj
Stochastic Shocks and Oil Revenue Management in Iran; A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach [PDF]
The main objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of oil revenue, productivity and money growth rate shocks on macroeconomic variables, in the context of a DSGE model with the consideration of features such as big size of government activities ...
Mohammad Sayadi +3 more
doaj +1 more source
DSGE Model Forecasting: Rational Expectations Versus Adaptive Learning
ABSTRACT This paper compares within‐sample and out‐of‐sample fit of a DSGE model with rational expectations to a model with adaptive learning. The Galí, Smets, and Wouters model is the chosen laboratory using quarterly real‐time euro area data vintages, covering 2001Q1–2019Q4.
Anders Warne
wiley +1 more source
Investigating the Role of Labor Division into Internal and External Sectors in the Iranian Economy within the Framework of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model [PDF]
The experience of countries has shown that easiness of transfer of labor in base on the joint cooperation from one country to another has many advantages and significant effects on macroeconomic variables.
Hamidreza Izadi, Morteza Sayareh
doaj +1 more source
Data revisions and DSGE models [PDF]
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
openaire +2 more sources
What Explains International Interest Rate Co‐Movement?
ABSTRACT The international co‐movement of interest rates reflects correlated business‐cycle fluctuations, largely driven by demand shocks. Monetary policy in advanced economies follows domestic mandates—inflation and the output gap—and does not respond to foreign policy shocks.
Annika Camehl, Gregor von Schweinitz
wiley +1 more source
Better on Average? Average Inflation Targeting With an Unclear Averaging Window
ABSTRACT Average inflation targeting (AIT) aims to stabilize inflation expectations by offsetting past deviations from target. However, ambiguity about the averaging window can complicate expectations formation and reduce policy effectiveness. This paper integrates AIT into a benchmark DSGE model, incorporating adaptive learning and a signal extraction
James Dean
wiley +1 more source
A Markov-Switching DSGE model for measuring the output gap in Brazil
The output gap, while inherently unobservable, plays a pivotal role in informing policymakers due to its significant implications for forecasting inflation rates and understanding the mechanisms of monetary policy transmission.
Eleonora de Oliveira +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Monetary Policy, Investor Sentiment and Stock Price Bubble: Evidence From China
ABSTRACT The empirical results indicate that an increase in interest rates may stimulate a significant and persistent stock price bubble, which is consistent with rational asset price bubble theory. This finding suggests that central banks should implement anti‐turbulent monetary policy with caution, since inappropriate tightening may unintentionally ...
Jiahao Gong +3 more
wiley +1 more source

