Results 41 to 50 of about 7,201 (228)
In this paper, we examine the influencing factors of inflation persistence in China’s economy using the DSGE approach. Two monetary DSGE models are estimated, namely, a standard CIA model and a CIA model with a Taylor rule. This article uses the Bayesian
Liao Ying, Ridong Hu
doaj +1 more source
DSGE Models in the Frequency Domain [PDF]
We exploit well-known features of the frequency domain to estimate a medium-scale DSGE model on different frequency bands. We study whether fit, parameter estimates and forecasting performance depend on the frequency band over which the model is estimated.
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Online estimation of DSGE models [PDF]
Summary This paper illustrates the usefulness of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods in approximating dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model posterior distributions. We show how the tempering schedule can be chosen adaptively, document the accuracy and runtime benefits of generalized data tempering for ‘online’ estimation ...
Michael Cai +5 more
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Efficiency of Cuts in Various Taxation Rates to Foster Economic Growth in a Framework of Wages Rigidity [PDF]
We use a simple DSGE model with prices and wages rigidities to evaluate the efficiency of various fiscal policies intended to sustain economic activity and growth.
Séverine Menguy
doaj +1 more source
DATA REVISIONS IN THE ESTIMATION OF DSGE MODELS [PDF]
Revisions of U.S. macroeconomic data are persistent, correlated with real-time data, and with high variability (around 80% of U.S. real-time data volatility). This paper adapts a DSGE-style model to accommodate both real-time and revised data from the U.S. economy.
Casares, Miguel, Vázquez Pérez, Jesús
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DSGE Model Forecasting: Rational Expectations Versus Adaptive Learning
ABSTRACT This paper compares within‐sample and out‐of‐sample fit of a DSGE model with rational expectations to a model with adaptive learning. The Galí, Smets, and Wouters model is the chosen laboratory using quarterly real‐time euro area data vintages, covering 2001Q1–2019Q4.
Anders Warne
wiley +1 more source
The Pathology of Financial Misalignment in Iran\'s Pension System Considering Emerging Diseases and Population Aging Phenomenon [PDF]
Today, the share of government aid from the public expenditures to support military and civil servants' pension funds has increased from about 11% in 2013 to 19% in 2021 and this trend has been increasing in recent years.
naeim shokri +4 more
doaj
Labor Market Institutions, Fiscal Multipliers, and Macroeconomic Volatility
ABSTRACT How do labor market institutions shape the transmission of government spending shocks and macroeconomic volatility? We develop a theoretical model in which labor market institutions affect fiscal transmission through their effect on wage rigidity, job separation, and matching frictions.
Maximilian Boeck +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Stochastic Shocks and Oil Revenue Management in Iran; A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach [PDF]
The main objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of oil revenue, productivity and money growth rate shocks on macroeconomic variables, in the context of a DSGE model with the consideration of features such as big size of government activities ...
Mohammad Sayadi +3 more
doaj +1 more source
DSGE Models and Central Banks [PDF]
AbstractOver the past 15 years there has been remarkable progress in the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Central banks in developed and emerging market economies have become increasingly interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and forecasting. This paper reviews some issues and challenges
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