Better on Average? Average Inflation Targeting With an Unclear Averaging Window
ABSTRACT Average inflation targeting (AIT) aims to stabilize inflation expectations by offsetting past deviations from target. However, ambiguity about the averaging window can complicate expectations formation and reduce policy effectiveness. This paper integrates AIT into a benchmark DSGE model, incorporating adaptive learning and a signal extraction
James Dean
wiley +1 more source
A Markov-Switching DSGE model for measuring the output gap in Brazil
The output gap, while inherently unobservable, plays a pivotal role in informing policymakers due to its significant implications for forecasting inflation rates and understanding the mechanisms of monetary policy transmission.
Eleonora de Oliveira +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Investigating the Role of Labor Division into Internal and External Sectors in the Iranian Economy within the Framework of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model [PDF]
The experience of countries has shown that easiness of transfer of labor in base on the joint cooperation from one country to another has many advantages and significant effects on macroeconomic variables.
Hamidreza Izadi, Morteza Sayareh
doaj +1 more source
Monetary Policy, Investor Sentiment and Stock Price Bubble: Evidence From China
ABSTRACT The empirical results indicate that an increase in interest rates may stimulate a significant and persistent stock price bubble, which is consistent with rational asset price bubble theory. This finding suggests that central banks should implement anti‐turbulent monetary policy with caution, since inappropriate tightening may unintentionally ...
Jiahao Gong +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Supply Chain Diversification and Industrial Policies to Strengthen Economic Security
ABSTRACT Recently, global supply chains have been disrupted because of geopolitical factors and industrial policies induced by national security concerns. Under these circumstances, creating supply chain resilience and strengthening economic security are of great interest to researchers, policymakers, and business people.
Yasuyuki Todo
wiley +1 more source
Dutch disease, unemployment and structural change
Abstract We find that Dutch disease effects on unemployment are small even in a commodity‐rich economy like Australia. Using an estimated open‐economy model with frictional unemployment, we quantify how business‐cycle shocks and structural changes shape aggregate unemployment.
Mariano Kulish +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Predictive performance of DSGE model for small open economy – the case study of Czech Republic
Multivariate time series forecasting is applied in a wide range of economic activities related to regional competitiveness and is the basis of almost all macroeconomic analysis.
Tomáš Jeřábek +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Macroeconomic forecasting during recessions and expansions in the US and the euro area
Abstract This study systematically evaluates forecasting performance of 11 Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) and 2 Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) models during recessions and expansions in the US and the euro area. Results show that no single model dominates: parsimonious models perform well in stable periods and at short horizons ...
Jan Čapek +2 more
wiley +1 more source
How Does Progressivity Affect the Tax Cut Multiplier?
ABSTRACT How does the targeting of personal income tax cuts affect the output multiplier? This paper provides quantitative evidence using a heterogeneous‐agent New‐Keynesian model calibrated to match US distributions of income, wealth, marginal tax rates, and marginal propensities to consume.
Christian Gillitzer
wiley +1 more source
A Small Open Economy DSGE Model for Pakistan [PDF]
This paper estimates a small open economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model for Pakistan using Bayesian simulation approach. Model setup is based on new Keynesian framework, characterized by nominal rigidity in prices with habit ...
Khan, Safdar Ullah, Haider, Adnan
core +1 more source

