Results 21 to 30 of about 908,181 (301)
Frontiers in Earth Science, 2018 We describe a multidisciplinary approach to forecast, rapidly detect, and characterize explosive events during the 2016–2017 eruption of Bogoslof volcano, a back-arc shallow submarine volcano in Alaska’s Aleutian arc.
Michelle L. Coombs +10 more
doaj +2 more sources
Mitigation of human cognitive bias in volcanic eruption forecasting
Journal of Applied VolcanologyModern operational eruption forecasting methods rely heavily on human judgment in the face of uncertainty and are thus susceptible to myriad cognitive biases and errors by the scientist-forecasters.
Heather M. N. Wright +2 more
doaj +2 more sources
Frontiers in Earth Science, 2017 In monitoring active volcanoes, the magma overpressure is one of the key parameters used in forecasting volcanic eruptions. This parameter can be inferred from the ground displacements measured on the Earth's surface by applying inversion techniques ...
M. Grace Bato +2 more
doaj +2 more sources
Probabilistic eruption forecasting and the call for an evacuation [PDF]
Geophysical Research Letters, 2007 One of the most critical practical actions to reduce volcanic risk is the evacuation of people from threatened areas during volcanic unrest. Despite its importance, this decision is usually arrived at subjectively by a few individuals, with little quantitative decision support.
Warner Marzocchi, Gordon Woo
exaly +4 more sources
Understanding Fast and Slow Unrest at Volcanoes and Implications for Eruption Forecasting
Frontiers in Earth Science, 2018 This paper examines the behaviour of fast volcanoes that erupt quickly with paroxysmal explosive eruptions, and slow volcanoes that erupt over extended periods without such paroxysmal activity.
J. Stix
semanticscholar +2 more sources
From rest to eruption: How we should anticipate volcanic eruptions
npj Natural HazardsVolcanic eruptions are typically preceded by unrest, marked by increased seismicity, ground deformation, and gas emissions. Unrest can last from decades to minutes.
J. Martí
doaj +2 more sources
The flare likelihood and region eruption forecasting (FLARECAST) project: flare forecasting in the big data & machine learning era [PDF]
Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 2021 The European Union funded the FLARECAST project, that ran from January 2015 until February 2018. FLARECAST had a research-to-operations (R2O) focus, and accordingly introduced several innovations into the discipline of solar flare forecasting.
M. Georgoulis +27 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Forecasting volcanic eruptions [PDF]
Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 2003 Forecasting is a central goal of volcanology. Intensive monitoring of recent eruptions has generated integrated time-series of data, which have resulted in several successful examples of warnings being issued on impending eruptions. Ability to forecast is being advanced by new technology, such as broad-band seismology, satellite observations of ground ...
+4 more sources
Nature Geoscience, 2008 Florent Brenguier, Valerie Ferrazzini and their colleagues braved tropical cyclones and crater collapses while recording continuous seismological data on the Piton de la Foumaise volcano.
Brenguier, F., Ferrazzini, V.
openaire +4 more sources
A physics-based source model for real-time tephra-dispersal forecasting for weak eruption plumes
Journal of Applied Volcanology, 2022 A physics-based model to estimate source conditions for a tephra-dispersal model is developed. The source condition is generally expressed by a distribution of released particles along an eruption plume (referred to as “source magnitude distribution” SMD)
Kensuke Ishii +3 more
doaj +1 more source