Statistical analysis of daily seismic event rate as a precursor to volcanic eruptions [PDF]
We analyse time series of daily seismic event rate for the Kilauea, Hawaii, volcano between 1959 and 2000. Individual eruptions are not always preceded by an increase in event rate, and many increases in event rate do not lead to eruption.
Chastin, Sebastien F. M., Main, Ian G.
core +2 more sources
Alaska Volcano Observatory Alert and Forecasting Timeliness: 1989–2017
The Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) monitors volcanoes in Alaska and issues notifications and warnings of volcanic unrest and eruption. We evaluate the timeliness and accuracy of eruption forecasts for 53 eruptions at 20 volcanoes, beginning with Mount ...
Cheryl E. Cameron +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Forecasting volcanic ash dispersal and coeval resuspension during the April-May 2015 Calbuco eruption [PDF]
Atmospheric dispersion of volcanic ash from explosive eruptions or from subsequent fallout deposit resuspension causes a range of impacts and disruptions on human activities and ecosystems.
Baez, Walter Ariel +9 more
core +1 more source
Detecting volcanic sulfur dioxide plumes in the Northern Hemisphere using the Brewer spectrophotometer, other networks, and satellite observations [PDF]
This paper demonstrates that SO 2 columnar amounts have significantly increased following the five largest volcanic eruptions of the past decade in the Northern Hemisphere.
Allaart, Marc +29 more
core +2 more sources
Using recent advancements in high-performance computing data assimilation to combine satellite InSAR data with numerical models, the prolonged unrest of the Sierra Negra volcano in the Galápagos was tracked to provide a fortuitous, but successful ...
P. Gregg +6 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Volcano remote sensing with ground-based spectroscopy [PDF]
The chemical compositions and emission rates of volcanic gases carry important information about underground magmatic and hydrothermal conditions, with application in eruption forecasting.
Burton M.R +5 more
core +1 more source
Volcanic Risk Mitigation that Could Have Been Derailed but Wasn’t: Pinatubo, Philippines 1991
This is the story of a successful risk mitigation effort at Mount Pinatubo in 1991 that could easily have failed. The counterfactuals are the myriad of ways that the effort could have failed but didn’t.
Chris Newhall
doaj +1 more source
Inclusion of ash and SO2 emissions from volcanic eruptions in WRF-Chem: development and some applications [PDF]
We describe a new functionality within the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with coupled Chemistry (WRF-Chem) that allows simulating emission, transport, dispersion, transformation and sedimentation of pollutants released during volcanic ...
M. Stuefer +6 more
doaj +1 more source
Coronal mass ejections from the same active region cluster: Two different perspectives [PDF]
The cluster formed by active regions (ARs) NOAA 11121 and 11123, approximately located on the solar central meridian on 11 November 2010, is of great scientific interest.
Cremades, H. +3 more
core +3 more sources
Application of BET_EF at Mount Etna: a retrospective analysis (years 2001-2005)
Advances in volcano monitoring and forecasting need a multidisciplinary collaborative framework. In light of this, a Bayesian Event Tree (BET) approach was performed by the application of the BET for Eruption Forecasting (BET_EF) code to analyze the ...
Jacopo Selva +19 more
doaj +1 more source

