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Forecasting Eruptions at Poorly Known Volcanoes Using Analogs and Multivariate Renewal Processes
Geophysical Research Letters, 2022 Forecasting future destructive eruptions from re‐awakening volcanoes remains a challenge, mainly due to a lack of previous event data. This sparks a search for similar volcanoes to provide additional information, especially those with better compiled and
Ting Wang +3 more
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How big will the next eruption be?
Journal of Applied Volcanology, 2022 Anticipating the size of the next volcanic eruption in long-term forecasts is a major problem in both basic and applied volcanology. In this study, we investigate the extent to which eruption size is predictable based on historical and other attribute ...
Paul Colosi, Emily E. Brodsky
doaj +1 more source
, 2022 The eruption phases dataset contains 2670 eruptions and 6871 eruptive phases from volcanoes around the world, representing 95% of eruptions with text descriptions in the Smithsonian Institution's Global Volcanism Program. These data accompany Bebbington,
Jenkins, Susanna, Mark S. Bebbington
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Development of a Bayesian event tree for short-term eruption onset forecasting at Taupō volcano. [PDF]
, 2021 Taupō volcano, located within the Taupō Volcanic Zone (TVZ) in the central North Island of Aotearoa- New Zealand (A-NZ), is one of the world's most active silicic caldera systems.
Scott, Emmy Elizabeth
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Journal of Geography (Chigaku Zasshi), 2021 ― Abstract Volcanoes with shallow hydrothermal systems are often accompanied by background volcanic activity such as fumarolic activity, microseismicity, and ground deformation even in the non-eruptive phase. When elevated, they are said to be in a state
T. Hashimoto
semanticscholar +1 more source
Real‐time eruption forecasting using the material Failure Forecast Method with a Bayesian approach
Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 2015 P Lesage, Guillermo Cortes
exaly +2 more sources
Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, 2022 Axial Seamount is a basaltic hot spot volcano with a summit caldera at a depth of ∼1,500 m below sea level, superimposed on the Juan de Fuca spreading ridge, giving it a robust and continuous magma supply.
William W. Chadwick Jr. +5 more
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Statistical analysis of daily seismic event rate as a precursor to volcanic eruptions [PDF]
, 2003 We analyse time series of daily seismic event rate for the Kilauea, Hawaii, volcano between 1959 and 2000. Individual eruptions are not always preceded by an increase in event rate, and many increases in event rate do not lead to eruption.
Ian G. Main +3 more
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Discrete magma injections drive the 2021 La Palma eruption
, 2023 Understanding the drivers of the onset, evolution, and end of eruptions and their impact on eruption style is critical in eruption forecasting and emergency management.
Sanz Mangas, David +9 more
core +2 more sources
Alaska Volcano Observatory Alert and Forecasting Timeliness: 1989–2017
Frontiers in Earth Science, 2018 The Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) monitors volcanoes in Alaska and issues notifications and warnings of volcanic unrest and eruption. We evaluate the timeliness and accuracy of eruption forecasts for 53 eruptions at 20 volcanoes, beginning with Mount ...
Cheryl E. Cameron +5 more
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