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Eruption forecast for Krafla Caldera
Since December 1975, Krafla, a volcano in northern Iceland, has been the site of repeated earthquakes, fissuring, and occasional eruptions (see cover figure). Intense monitoring of activity at Krafla has led to the recognition of a repetitive pattern of months‐long inflation in the caldera area, followed by sudden deflation.
Charles A. Wood +1 more
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Towards scientific forecasting of magmatic eruptions
Forecasting eruptions is a fundamental goal of volcanology. However,difficulties in identifying eruptive precursors, fragmented approachesand lack of resources make eruption forecasting difficult to achieve.In this Review, we explore the first-order scientific approaches thatare essential to progress towards forecasting the time and location ofmagmatic
Valerio Acocella +5 more
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Accurate hindcasting of explosive eruptions at Whakaari, New Zealand
Phreatic eruptions are small, sudden events, commonly with few precursory signals. They are driven by interactions between magmatic and hydrothermal processes at shallow levels beneath the surface.
John Stix, Craig Miller, Yajing Liu
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Thermal Remote Sensing for Global Volcano Monitoring: Experiences From the MIROVA System
Volcanic activity is always accompanied by the transfer of heat from the Earth’s crust to the atmosphere. This heat can be measured from space and its measurement is a very useful tool for detecting volcanic activity on a global scale.
Diego Coppola +33 more
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Eruptive Styles Recognition Using High Temporal Resolution Geostationary Infrared Satellite Data
The high temporal resolution of the Spinning Enhanced Visible and InfraRed Imager (SEVIRI) instrument aboard Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) provides the opportunity to investigate eruptive processes and discriminate different styles of volcanic ...
Valerio Lombardo +4 more
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Predictability of Volcano Eruption: lessons from a basaltic effusive volcano [PDF]
Volcano eruption forecast remains a challenging and controversial problem despite the fact that data from volcano monitoring significantly increased in quantity and quality during the last decades.This study uses pattern recognition techniques to ...
Aki +27 more
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Universal machine learning approach to volcanic eruption forecasting using seismic features
Introduction: Volcano seismology has successfully predicted several eruptions and includes many reliable methods that have been adopted extensively by volcanic observatories; however, there are several problems that still lack solutions.
Pablo Rey-Devesa +5 more
semanticscholar +1 more source
Hindcasting Magma Reservoir Stability Preceding the 2008 Eruption of Okmok, Alaska
Volcanic eruptions pose a significant and sometimes unpredictable hazard, especially at systems that display little to no precursory signals. For example, the 2008 eruption of Okmok volcano in Alaska notably lacked observable short‐term precursors ...
J. A. Albright +3 more
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Eruptive Event Generator Based on the Gibson-Low Magnetic Configuration [PDF]
Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), a kind of energetic solar eruptions, are an integral subject of space weather research. Numerical magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) modeling, which requires powerful computational resources, is one of the primary means of studying ...
Borovikov, Dmitry +4 more
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How Scientists Forecast Volcanic Eruptions
Volcanic eruptions are impressive demonstrations of the activity of our planet. While some eruptions may be safely observed from distance, many eruptions, especially if explosive, may be hazardous to the populations and the environment around the volcano, including the animals, plants, and manmade structures.
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