Results 31 to 40 of about 820,554 (319)

Tremor clustering reveals pre-eruptive signals and evolution of the 2021 Geldingadalir eruption of the Fagradalsfjall Fires, Iceland

Communications Earth & Environment
Analyzing seismic data in a timely manner is essential for potential eruption forecasting and early warning in volcanology. Here, we demonstrate that unsupervised machine learning methods can automatically uncover hidden details from the continuous ...
Zahra Zali, S. Mostafa Mousavi, Matthias Ohrnberger, Eva P. S. Eibl, Fabrice Cotton   +4 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Forecasting Volcanic Eruptions: Beyond the Failure Forecast Method [PDF]

Frontiers in Earth Science, 2018
Volcano-tectonic seismicity and ground movement are the most reliable precursors to eruptions after extended intervals of repose, as well as to flank eruptions from frequently active volcanoes. Their behavior is consistent with elastic-brittle failure of the crust before a new pathway is opened to allow magma ascent.
Christopher R. J. Kilburn
openalex   +4 more sources

Real‐time eruption forecasting using the material Failure Forecast Method with a Bayesian approach

, 2015
A. Boué, Philippe Lesage, Guillermo Cortés, Bernard Valette, Gabriel Reyes-Dávila   +4 more
openalex   +3 more sources

Probabilistic eruption forecasting and the call for an evacuation [PDF]

Geophysical Research Letters, 2007
One of the most critical practical actions to reduce volcanic risk is the evacuation of people from threatened areas during volcanic unrest. Despite its importance, this decision is usually arrived at subjectively by a few individuals, with little quantitative decision support.
Warner Marzocchi, Gordon Woo
openalex   +5 more sources

The flare likelihood and region eruption forecasting (FLARECAST) project: flare forecasting in the big data & machine learning era [PDF]

Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 2021
The European Union funded the FLARECAST project, that ran from January 2015 until February 2018. FLARECAST had a research-to-operations (R2O) focus, and accordingly introduced several innovations into the discipline of solar flare forecasting.
M. Georgoulis, D. S. Bloomfield, M. Piana, A. Massone, M. Soldati, P. Gallagher, E. Pariat, N. Vilmer, É. Buchlin, F. Baudin, A. Csillaghy, H. Sathiapal, D. Jackson, P. Alingery, F. Benvenuto, C. Campi, K. Florios, Constantin Gontikakis, C. Guennou, J. A. Guerra, I. Kontogiannis, Vittorio Latorre, S. Murray, Sung-Hong Park, Samuel von Stachelski, Aleksandar Torbica, Dario Vischi, Mark Worsfold   +27 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Coronary Imaging Modalities for Forecasting the “Eruption of the Volcano”

Circulation Journal, 2015
Nobuaki Suzuki, Ken Kozuma
openalex   +5 more sources

A Dynamic Extreme Value Model with Application to Volcanic Eruption Forecasting [PDF]

Mathematical Geosciences, 2022
Extreme events such as natural and economic disasters leave lasting impacts on society and motivate the analysis of extremes from data. While classical statistical tools based on Gaussian distributions focus on average behaviour and can lead to ...
Michele Nguyen, Almut E. D. Veraart, B. Taisne, C. T. Tan, D. Lallemant   +4 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Volcanic soil gas ⁴He/CO₂ ratio: a useful geochemical tool for real-time eruption forecasting. [PDF]

Sci Rep
Pérez NM, Padrón E, Melián G, Hernández PA, Padilla G, Barrancos J, Rodríguez F, D'Auria L, Calvo D.   +8 more
europepmc   +3 more sources

FORMALIZED TECHNIQUE OF BEZYMIANNY VOLCANO (KAMCHATKA) ERUPTION FORECASTING BASED ON THE STATISTICAL ESTIMATION OF SEISMICITY LEVEL [PDF]

, 2016
V. Saltykov
openalex   +2 more sources

Evaluation of short-term probabilistic eruption forecasting at Whakaari, New Zealand

Bulletin of Volcanology, 2022
Phreatic explosions at volcanoes are difficult to forecast but can be locally devastating, as illustrated by the deadly 2019 Whakaari (New Zealand) eruption.
D. Dempsey, A. Kempa-Liehr, A. Ardid, A. Li, S. Orenia, J. Singh, A. J. Tyler, S. Cronin   +7 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source