Results 21 to 30 of about 3,761,012 (326)

Daily ensemble river discharge reforecasts and real-time forecasts from the operational Global Flood Awareness System [PDF]

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2023
Operational global-scale hydrological forecasting systems are used to help manage hydrological extremes such as floods and droughts. The vast amounts of raw data that underpin forecast systems and the ability to generate information on forecast skill ...
S. Harrigan, E. Zsoter, E. Zsoter, H. Cloke, H. Cloke, H. Cloke, H. Cloke, P. Salamon, C. Prudhomme, C. Prudhomme, C. Prudhomme   +10 more
doaj   +1 more source

Year‐round sub‐seasonal forecast skill for Atlantic–European weather regimes

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 2021
Weather regime forecasts are a prominent use case of sub‐seasonal prediction in the midlatitudes. A systematic evaluation and understanding of year‐round sub‐seasonal regime forecast performance is still missing, however.
D. Büeler, L. Ferranti, L. Magnusson, J. Quinting, C. Grams   +4 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Subseasonal‐to‐seasonal forecast skill in the California Current System and its connection to coastal Kelvin waves

Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans, 2022
Accurate dynamical forecasts of ocean variables in the California Current System (CCS) are essential decision support tools for advancing ecosystem-based marine resource management.
D. Amaya, M. Jacox, J. Dias, M. Alexander, K. Karnauskas, James D. Scott, M. Gehne   +6 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Forecast Skill of the NAO in the Subseasonal to-Seasonal Prediction Models

Journal of Climate, 2021
The prediction skill of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in boreal winter is assessed in the operational models of the WCRP/WWRP Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) prediction project.
Pei-Ning Feng, Hai Lin, J. Derome, T. Merlis   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Evaluation of the subseasonal forecast skill of floods associated with atmospheric rivers in coastal Western U.S. watersheds

Journal of Hydrometeorology, 2021
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) are responsible for up to 90% of major flood events along the U.S. West Coast. The timescale of subseasonal forecasting (two weeks to one month) is a critical lead time for proactive mitigation of flood disasters.
Q. Cao, S. Shukla, M. DeFlorio, F. M. Ralph, D. Lettenmaier   +4 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Evaluating the Forecast Skill of a Hydrometeorological Modelling System in Greece

Atmosphere, 2021
A hydrometeorological forecasting system has been operating at the Institute of Marine Biological Resources and Inland Waters (IMBRIW) of the Hellenic Centre for Marine Research (HCMR) since September 2015.
George Varlas, A. Papadopoulos, G. Papaioannou, E. Dimitriou   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5)

Climate Dynamics, 2021
Accurate forecasting of variations in Indian monsoon precipitation and progression on seasonal time scales remains a challenge for prediction centres. We examine prediction skill for the seasonal-mean Indian summer monsoon and its onset in the European ...
A. Chevuturi, A. Turner, S. Johnson, A. Weisheimer, J. Shonk, T. Stockdale, R. Senan   +6 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Attribution of hydrologic forecast uncertainty within scalable forecast windows [PDF]

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2014
Hindcasts based on the extended streamflow prediction (ESP) approach are carried out in a typical rainfall-dominated basin in China, aiming to examine the roles of initial conditions (IC), future atmospheric forcing (FC) and hydrologic model uncertainty (
L. Yang, F. Tian, Y. Sun, X. Yuan, H. Hu
doaj   +1 more source

Measuring Forecasting Skill from Text [PDF]

Proceedings of the 58th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, 2020
Accepted at ACL ...
Shi Zong, Alan Ritter, Eduard H. Hovy
openaire   +3 more sources

Value of medium range weather forecasts in the improvement of seasonal hydrologic prediction skill [PDF]

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2012
We investigated the contribution of medium range weather forecasts with lead times of up to 14 days to seasonal hydrologic prediction skill over the conterminous United States (CONUS).
S. Shukla, N. Voisin, D. P. Lettenmaier
doaj   +1 more source