Results 191 to 200 of about 80,068 (296)

An opportunity index to anticipate when subseasonal predictions are useful

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Simultaneously active subseasonal windows of forecast opportunity can be combined into a single opportunity index, which can be used operationally to anticipate enhanced or reduced subseasonal prediction skill. For predictions of temperature anomalies in Switzerland during summer—a region and season with particularly low predictability—skill can nearly
Dominik Büeler   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Adolescent envy-like social comparison stress induces HPA axis hypoactivity and anxiety in female mice: implications for somatic symptom disorder. [PDF]

open access: yesSci Rep
Ueno H   +9 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Are we misdiagnosing ensemble forecast reliability? On the insufficiency of spread–error and rank‐based reliability metrics

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We demonstrate that the spread–error relationship, rank histogram, and continuous rank probability score reliability component can falsely indicate reliability under climatological variance biases, yielding ensemble members that are overly or insufficiently extreme.
Arlan Dirkson, Mark Buehner
wiley   +1 more source

Acute Stress Attenuates Hepatic Ischemia-Reperfusion Injury via Hypothalamic CRH Neuron-Induced HPA Axis Activation. [PDF]

open access: yesCNS Neurosci Ther
Lin X   +12 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Diagnosing the 11‐year solar cycle's influence on the East Atlantic pattern

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A previously unidentified solar‐cycle response in the East Atlantic pattern is found in late winter at lag +3 years with larger amplitude than the NAO response. A statistically significant NAO response to the solar cycle is seen in late winter at lag 0 years.
Stergios Misios   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Bivariate postprocessing of wind vectors

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We introduce three novel bivariate postprocessing approaches and analyze their performance for joint postprocessing of bivariate wind‐vector components in Germany. Bivariate vine‐copula‐based models, a bivariate gradient‐boosted version of ensemble model output statistics (EMOS), and a bivariate distributional regression network (DRN) are compared with
Ferdinand Buchner   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Exploiting Aeolus winds in a regional numerical weather prediction model

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Aeolus measured winds have proven to be beneficial for global models. However, demonstrating positive impact for limited‐area models has been a challenge so far. For the first time, we have demonstrated a statistically significant positive impact of Aeolus winds in a limited‐area model by using the 4DVar data assimilation technique and the most recent ...
Gert‐Jan Marseille   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

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