Results 1 to 10 of about 13,810 (99)
All-cause health-adjusted life expectancy in Jiangxi Province, China, 2000–2030: systematic estimation and analysis [PDF]
Preventive Medicine ReportsObjectives: Using Jiangxi Province as a case study, this research aims to evaluate the progress in achieving the national “Healthy China 2030” all-cause health-adjusted life expectancy (HALE) targets at the subnational level. Methods: Based on provincial
Jing Ding +5 more
doaj +2 more sources
Comparative Study of Lee Carter and Arch Model in Modelling Female Mortality in Nigeria
UMYU Scientifica Journal, 2022 Using Nigeria mortality data from 2009 to 2020, this study compares and contrasts how well the Lee-Carter and ARCH models performed. Singular value decomposition (SVD) method, Langrage multiplier test, and autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity ...
Aliyu Umar Shelleng +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Generalization of stochastic mortality models to improve mortality prediction in life insurance and pension funds [PDF]
تصمیم گیری و تحقیق در عملیات, 2023 Purpose: Mortality is a dynamic process that completes over time and is a fundamental issue in life insurance, pension fund, health insurance, and in general any issue related to financial planning that deals with the longevity of individuals. Therefore,
Shirin Shoaee +1 more
doaj +1 more source
Longevity risk—Its financial impact on pensions
Scientific African, 2022 We study the financial impact of longevity risk on defined benefit (DB) pension plan liabilities using the 2010 Ghana population census, and the Lee-Carter model. We compare the usual Lee-Carter model to an extended version. While we observe that Ghana’s
Nana Poku Appiagyei Nantwi +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Evaluation of Lee–Carter model to breast cancer mortality prediction in China and Pakistan
Frontiers in Oncology, 2023 BackgroundPrecise breast cancer–related mortality forecasts are required for public health program and healthcare service planning. A number of stochastic model–based approaches for predicting mortality have been developed.
Sumaira Mubarik +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Iran mortality rates using Lee-Carter model: Estimation and forecasting [PDF]
Iranian Journal of Insurance Research, 2013 Mortality forecasts are made in two ways: one is indirect forecasting through life expectancy forecasting and then converting it to age-specific death rate, and the second is direct forecasting of mortality rates.
A. Komijani, M. Koosheshi, L. Niakan
doaj +1 more source
Decelerating mortality rates in older ages and its prospects through Lee-Carter approach. [PDF]
PLoS ONE, 2012 The present study attempts to study the age pattern mortality and prospects through Lee-Carter approach. The objectives of the study are to examine the trend of mortality decline and life expectancy.
Awdhesh Yadav +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Applied Sciences, 2022 The ongoing pandemic has resulted in the development of models dealing with the rate of virus spread and the modelling of mortality rates μx,t. A new method of modelling the mortality rates μx,t with different time intervals of higher and lower ...
Piotr Sliwka, Leslaw Socha
doaj +1 more source
Investigating Mortality Uncertainty Using the Block Bootstrap
Journal of Probability and Statistics, 2010 This paper proposes a block bootstrap method for measuring mortality risk under the Lee-Carter model framework. In order to take account of all sources of risk (the process risk, the parameter risk, and the model risk) properly, a block bootstrap is ...
Xiaoming Liu, W. John Braun
doaj +1 more source
Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries
Genus, 2018 Background The Lee–Carter method and its later variants are widely accepted extrapolative methods for forecasting mortality and life expectancy in industrial countries due to their simplicity and availability of high quality long time series data ...
Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi +1 more
doaj +1 more source