Results 41 to 50 of about 392,820 (275)

An application of MCMC simulation in mortality projection for populations with limited data

open access: yesDemographic Research, 2014
Objective: IIn this paper, we investigate the use of Bayesian modeling and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation, via the software WinBUGS, to project future mortality for populations with limited data. In particular, we adapt some extensions of the
Jackie Li
doaj   +1 more source

Bayesian Poisson Log-Bilinear Mortality Projections [PDF]

open access: yes, 2004
Mortality projections are major concerns for public policy, social security and private insurance. This paper implements a Bayesian log-bilinear Poisson regression model to forecast mortality.
Czado, Claudia, Delwarde, A., Denuit, M.
core   +2 more sources

Probabilistic population forecasts for small regions [PDF]

open access: yesDemographic Research
BACKGROUND: Age-specific population forecasts for small areas or subnational regions are a valuable tool for local governments. However, typical population projection methods based on the cohort-component approach are difficult to apply on a smaller ...
Julius Goes, Henriette Engelhardt
doaj   +1 more source

Adoption of projected mortality table for the Slovenian market using the Poisson log-bilinear model to test the minimum standard for valuing life annuities [PDF]

open access: yesEconomic and Business Review, 2015
With the introduction of Solvency II a consistent market approach to the valuation of insurance assets and liabilities is required. For the best estimate of life annuity provisions one should estimate the longevity risk of the insured population in ...
Darko Medved   +3 more
doaj  

Safety of Sodium‐Ion Batteries: Evaluation and Perspective from Component Materials to Cells, Modules, and Packs

open access: yesAdvanced Energy Materials, EarlyView.
This review provides a bottom‐up evaluation of sodium‐ion battery safety, linking material degradation mechanisms, cell engineering parameters, and module/pack assembly. It emphasizes that understanding intrinsic material stability and establishing coordinated engineering control across hierarchical levels are vital for preventing degradation coupling ...
Won‐Gwang Lim   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Coherent modeling of mortality patterns for age-specific subgroups [PDF]

open access: yes, 2019
The recent actuarial literature has shown that mortality patterns and trajectories in closely related populations are similar in some respects and that small differences are unlikely to increase in the long run.
Giordano, G.   +2 more
core   +1 more source

Farmers' Participation in Messenger‐Based Social Groups And Its Effects on Performance in Irrigated Areas of Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan

open access: yesAgribusiness, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT The penetration of information and communication technologies (ICTs) in farming communities is increasing the use of smartphone‐based instant messaging apps. Despite this, the reasons behind participation and the impact on farm productivity in developing countries remain unexplored.
Zafar Kurbanov   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

How cold is too cold? A theoretical analysis of the optimal trigger for index insurance for frost damage to crops

open access: yesAmerican Journal of Agricultural Economics, EarlyView.
Abstract Crop insurance is undoubtedly an extremely valuable element in protecting agricultural businesses, but in many cases standard indemnity‐based products have had very low uptake due to high transaction costs elevating premiums to unaffordable levels.
Amogh Prakasha Kumar   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Racism and racial disparities in firearm violence: A scoping review

open access: yesAmerican Journal of Community Psychology, EarlyView.
Abstract Firearm violence (i.e., interpersonal, police firearm violence) disproportionately affects racially minoritized communities. Researchers recently shifted their focus from race to racism to better understand the factors that contribute to racial disparities in firearm violence.
Daniel B. Lee   +8 more
wiley   +1 more source

Estimación y proyección de la mortalidad para Costa Rica con la aplicación del método Lee-Carter con dos variantes [PDF]

open access: yesPoblación y Salud en Mesoamérica, 2013
RESUMENEl modelo de Lee y Carter ha sido aplicado para realizar estimaciones de la mortalidad en Costa Rica durante el período 1970-2010, y estas a su vez permiten hacer proyecciones que contribuyen al estudio del curso de la mortalidad en nuestra ...
Eduardo Aguilar Fernández
doaj  

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