Results 21 to 30 of about 392,820 (275)

MORTALITY FORECASTING OF DEATHS IN PROVINCE - DISTRICT CENTERS OF TURKEY USING TREND AND LEE-CARTER METHODS

open access: gold, 2012
Ölüm oranı tahminleri özellikle sosyal güvenlik ile emeklilik sistemlerinin, özel sigorta planlarının gelecekteki finansal durumunun değerlendirilmesinde kullanılmakta, aktüeryal hesaplamaların başlıca bileşeni olarak bu planların finansal istikrarının sağlanmasında önemli bir yer teşkil etmektedir. Oldukça eski bir geçmişe sahip olan ölüm oranı tahmin
Yasemin Gençtürk, Tuna Genç
openalex   +3 more sources

Comparison of mortality rate forecasting using the Second Order Lee–Carter method with different mortality models

open access: green, 2019
Mortality information is very important for national planning and health of a country. Mortality rate forecasting is a basic contribution for the projection of financial improvement of pension plans, well-being and social strategy planning. In the first part of the thesis, we fit the selected mortality rate models, namely the Power-exponential function
Hisham Sulemana
openalex   +2 more sources

Generalization of stochastic mortality models to improve mortality prediction in life insurance and pension funds [PDF]

open access: yesتصمیم گیری و تحقیق در عملیات, 2023
Purpose: Mortality is a dynamic process that completes over time and is a fundamental issue in life insurance, pension fund, health insurance, and in general any issue related to financial planning that deals with the longevity of individuals. Therefore,
Shirin Shoaee   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Longevity risk—Its financial impact on pensions

open access: yesScientific African, 2022
We study the financial impact of longevity risk on defined benefit (DB) pension plan liabilities using the 2010 Ghana population census, and the Lee-Carter model. We compare the usual Lee-Carter model to an extended version. While we observe that Ghana’s
Nana Poku Appiagyei Nantwi   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Evaluation of Lee–Carter model to breast cancer mortality prediction in China and Pakistan

open access: yesFrontiers in Oncology, 2023
BackgroundPrecise breast cancer–related mortality forecasts are required for public health program and healthcare service planning. A number of stochastic model–based approaches for predicting mortality have been developed.
Sumaira Mubarik   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Comparison of the 1st and 2nd order Lee–Carter methods with the robust Hyndman–Ullah method for fitting and forecasting mortality rates

open access: closed, 2020
The 1st and 2nd order Lee–Carter methods were compared with the Hyndman–Ullah method in regards to goodness of fit and forecasting ability of mortality rates. Swedish population data was used from the Human Mortality Database. The robust estimation property of the Hyndman–Ullah method was also tested with inclusion of the Spanish flu and a hypothetical 
Emil Willersjö Nyfelt
openalex   +2 more sources

Iran mortality rates using Lee-Carter model: Estimation and forecasting [PDF]

open access: yesIranian Journal of Insurance Research, 2013
Mortality forecasts are made in two ways: one is indirect forecasting through life expectancy forecasting and then converting it to age-specific death rate, and the second is direct forecasting of mortality rates.
A. Komijani, M. Koosheshi, L. Niakan
doaj   +1 more source

Decelerating mortality rates in older ages and its prospects through Lee-Carter approach. [PDF]

open access: yesPLoS ONE, 2012
The present study attempts to study the age pattern mortality and prospects through Lee-Carter approach. The objectives of the study are to examine the trend of mortality decline and life expectancy.
Awdhesh Yadav   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Poisson Log-Bilinear Lee-Carter Model [PDF]

open access: yesNorth American Actuarial Journal, 2011
Life insurance companies deal with two fundamental types of risks when issuing annuity contracts: financial risk and demographic risk. Recent work on the latter has focused on modeling the trend in mortality as a stochastic process. A popular method for modeling death rates is the Lee-Carter model.
RUSSOLILLO, Maria   +4 more
openaire   +6 more sources

Application of Continuous Non-Gaussian Mortality Models with Markov Switchings to Forecast Mortality Rates

open access: yesApplied Sciences, 2022
The ongoing pandemic has resulted in the development of models dealing with the rate of virus spread and the modelling of mortality rates μx,t. A new method of modelling the mortality rates μx,t with different time intervals of higher and lower ...
Piotr Sliwka, Leslaw Socha
doaj   +1 more source

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