Results 21 to 30 of about 14,193,563 (259)

Application of Continuous Non-Gaussian Mortality Models with Markov Switchings to Forecast Mortality Rates

open access: yesApplied Sciences, 2022
The ongoing pandemic has resulted in the development of models dealing with the rate of virus spread and the modelling of mortality rates μx,t. A new method of modelling the mortality rates μx,t with different time intervals of higher and lower ...
Piotr Sliwka, Leslaw Socha
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting Indonesian mortality rates using the Lee-Carter model and ANFIS method [PDF]

open access: yesAIP Conference Proceedings, 2018
If information about the mortality rate for some future periods can be obtained in the present time then the financial planning and policy to be taken are expected to be better and directed. The model used to calculate the mortality rate in this paper is the Lee-Carter model. There are three parameters of the model, that is ax, bx and kt.
A. H. A. Zili, S. Mardiyati, D. Lestari
openaire   +2 more sources

The Poisson Log-Bilinear Lee-Carter Model [PDF]

open access: yesNorth American Actuarial Journal, 2011
Life insurance companies deal with two fundamental types of risks when issuing annuity contracts: financial risk and demographic risk. Recent work on the latter has focused on modeling the trend in mortality as a stochastic process. A popular method for modeling death rates is the Lee-Carter model.
RUSSOLILLO, Maria   +4 more
openaire   +6 more sources

A Modified Fuzzy Lee-Carter Method for Modeling Human Mortality

open access: yesProceedings of the 7th International Joint Conference on Computational Intelligence, 2015
Human mortality modeling and forecasting are important study fields since mortality rates are essential in financial and social policy making. Among many others, Lee Carter (LC) model is one of the most popular stochastic method in mortality forecasting.
Duygun Fatih Demirel, Melek Basak
openaire   +2 more sources

Forecasting the mortality rates of Malaysian population using Lee-Carter method [PDF]

open access: yesAIP Conference Proceedings, 2016
The population of many countries might undergo dramatic changes in the coming decades due to continuous increases in life expectancy. The sustained reduction in mortality rates and its systematic underestimation has been attracting the significant interest of researchers in recent years because of its potential impact on population size and structure ...
Nuraini Ngataman   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Dorothy Lee Carter-Seales [PDF]

open access: yes, 2014
Ratibu Jacocks interviewed Dorothy Lee Carter-Seales, a cousin of his wife Wilmer Amina Carter. Carter-Seales briefly described her family background as well as her time in school.
Wilmer Amina Carter Foundation
core   +5 more sources

Investigating Mortality Uncertainty Using the Block Bootstrap

open access: yesJournal of Probability and Statistics, 2010
This paper proposes a block bootstrap method for measuring mortality risk under the Lee-Carter model framework. In order to take account of all sources of risk (the process risk, the parameter risk, and the model risk) properly, a block bootstrap is ...
Xiaoming Liu, W. John Braun
doaj   +1 more source

Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries

open access: yesGenus, 2018
Background The Lee–Carter method and its later variants are widely accepted extrapolative methods for forecasting mortality and life expectancy in industrial countries due to their simplicity and availability of high quality long time series data ...
Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Prediction of life expectancy using the Lee-Carter model [PDF]

open access: yes, 2013
The ageing of the population is a problem of many European countries including the Czech Republic. This problem is related to two main factors, the increase of life expectancy and the decline of birth rate.
Jindrová, Pavla, Slavíček, Ondřej
core   +1 more source

Mortality forecasting in Colombia from abridged life tables by sex

open access: yesGenus, 2018
Background An adequate forecasting model of mortality that allows an analysis of different population changes is a topic of interest for countries in demographic transition.
Gisou Diaz   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

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