Mortality Forecasting with the Lee–Carter Method: Adjusting for Smoothing and Lifespan Disparity [PDF]
Reliable mortality forecasts are an essential component of healthcare policies in ageing societies. The Lee-Carter method and its later variants are widely accepted probabilistic approaches to mortality forecasting, due to their simplicity and the straightforward interpretation of the model parameters.
Rabbi A. M. F., Mazzuco S.
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Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations: An extension of the lee-carter method [PDF]
Abstract Mortality patterns and trajectories in closely related populations are likely to be similar in some respects, and differences are unlikely to increase in the long run. It should therefore be possible to improve the mortality forecasts for individual countries by taking into account the patterns in a larger group. Using the Human
Nan, Li, Ronald, Lee
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Extending the Lee-Carter Method to Model the Rotation of Age Patterns of Mortality Decline for Long-Term Projections [PDF]
Abstract In developed countries, mortality decline is decelerating at younger ages and accelerating at old ages, a phenomenon we call “rotation.” We expect that this rotation will also occur in developing countries as they attain high life expectancies.
Li, Nan, Lee, Ronald, Gerland, Patrick
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Comparison of Anthropometric Equations to Estimate Body Composition in Chilean Male Adolescent Soccer Players [PDF]
Background: Anthropometric body-composition assessment in youth soccer commonly relies on equations developed in different source populations and based on distinct body-composition models, potentially altering nutritional and sport-related interpretation.
Álvaro Farfán-Díaz +8 more
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Letter from Robert Lee Carter to L. A. Ashley
Letter from Robert Lee Carter to L. A. Ashley stating that Carter has received his telegram.https://mavmatrix.uta.edu/specialcollections_ivorydaviscivilrightscasepapers/1026/thumbnail ...
Carter, Robert Lee
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Iran mortality rates using Lee-Carter model: Estimation and forecasting [PDF]
Mortality forecasts are made in two ways: one is indirect forecasting through life expectancy forecasting and then converting it to age-specific death rate, and the second is direct forecasting of mortality rates.
A. Komijani, M. Koosheshi, L. Niakan
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Decelerating mortality rates in older ages and its prospects through Lee-Carter approach. [PDF]
The present study attempts to study the age pattern mortality and prospects through Lee-Carter approach. The objectives of the study are to examine the trend of mortality decline and life expectancy.
Awdhesh Yadav +2 more
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Forecasting Hungarian mortality rates using the Lee-Carter method [PDF]
A modified version of the popular Lee-Carter method (Lee-Carter 1992) is applied to forecast mortality rates in Hungary for the period 2004–2040 on the basis of mortality data between 1949 and 2003 both for men and women. Another case is also considered based on a restricted data set corresponding to the period 1989–2003.
Baran, S. +3 more
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Sensitivity of Selected Method of Estimation Based on the Lee-carter Model
Efficiency and the unbiasedness structure of three method of estimation namely: the Weighted Least Square, Maximum Likelihood Estimation and the Method of Moment were examined in this study. Using three scenarios labelled as Case I, II & III; where Case I is model simulation based on the distributional properties of the Lee Carter model, Case II ...
S. Oyamakin, Oluwafemi, Imaledo, Regina
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Examining structural shifts in mortality using the Lee-Carter method [PDF]
We present an extension of the Lee-Carter method of modeling mortality to examine structural shifts in trajectories of mortality. Austrian data consisting of 53 years of single-age mortality rates are subdivided into 30 24-year submatrices. Using singular value decomposition, the submatrices are decomposed into three component submatrices: 1) the ...
Lawrence R. Carter, Alexia Prskawetz
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