Results 31 to 40 of about 14,193,563 (259)
A Fuzzy-Random Extension of the Lee–Carter Mortality Prediction Model
International Journal of Computational Intelligence SystemsThe Lee–Carter model is a useful dynamic stochastic model to represent the evolution of central mortality rates throughout time. This model only considers the uncertainty about the coefficient related to the mortality trend over time but not to the age ...
Jorge de Andrés-Sánchez +1 more
doaj +1 more source
An application of MCMC simulation in mortality projection for populations with limited data
Demographic Research, 2014 Objective: IIn this paper, we investigate the use of Bayesian modeling and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation, via the software WinBUGS, to project future mortality for populations with limited data. In particular, we adapt some extensions of the
Jackie Li
doaj +1 more source
MathematicsDeep learning has become the default toolkit for mortality forecasting, yet essentially all existing models are purely data-driven: they fit well in-sample but can produce biologically implausible surfaces and extrapolate poorly to the oldest ages, and ...
Rami Yosef
doaj +1 more source
Adoption of projected mortality table for the Slovenian market using the Poisson log-bilinear model to test the minimum standard for valuing life annuities [PDF]
Economic and Business Review, 2015 With the introduction of Solvency II a consistent market approach to the valuation of insurance assets and liabilities is required. For the best estimate of life annuity provisions one should estimate the longevity risk of the insured population in ...
Darko Medved +3 more
doaj
Probabilistic population forecasts for small regions [PDF]
Demographic ResearchBACKGROUND: Age-specific population forecasts for small areas or subnational regions are a valuable tool for local governments. However, typical population projection methods based on the cohort-component approach are difficult to apply on a smaller ...
Julius Goes, Henriette Engelhardt
doaj +1 more source
Advanced Science, EarlyView.Mechanical cues, including ECM stiffness, stretch, compression, shear stress, and traction forces, remodel trafficking across the secretory pathway, from the ER and Golgi to endolysosomal compartments and the plasma membrane. The resulting secretome reshapes ECM composition and tissue mechanics, establishing feedback loops that support homeostasis or ...
Domenico Russo +5 more
wiley +1 more source
Advanced Energy Materials, EarlyView.This review provides a bottom‐up evaluation of sodium‐ion battery safety, linking material degradation mechanisms, cell engineering parameters, and module/pack assembly. It emphasizes that understanding intrinsic material stability and establishing coordinated engineering control across hierarchical levels are vital for preventing degradation coupling ...
Won‐Gwang Lim +5 more
wiley +1 more source
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, EarlyView.Abstract Crop insurance is undoubtedly an extremely valuable element in protecting agricultural businesses, but in many cases standard indemnity‐based products have had very low uptake due to high transaction costs elevating premiums to unaffordable levels.
Amogh Prakasha Kumar +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Sociodemographic Factors Associated with Hours Worked by Primary Carers in Australia
Australian Journal of Social Issues, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Primary caregivers constitute a major unpaid workforce in Australia. The aim of this study was to determine the sociodemographic factors that are associated with carer workloads. Multinomial logistic regression modelling was applied to the nation‐wide Australian Government survey.
Andrew J. Hamilton
wiley +1 more source
Long-Term Sales Forecasting Using Lee-Carter And Holt-Winters Methods
Journal of Applied Business Research (JABR), 2011 <p style="text-justify: inter-cluster; text-align: justify; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt; background: white; mso-pagination: none;"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; color: black; font-size: 10pt; mso-themecolor: text1; mso-bidi-font-style: italic;">This study developed a statistical model for
Wassana Suwanvijit +3 more
openaire +2 more sources