Results 211 to 220 of about 29,512 (260)

Mortality forecasting using stacked regression ensembles

Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2021
There are many alternative approaches to selecting mortality models and forecasting mortality. The standard practice is to produce forecasts using a single model such as the Lee-Carter, the Cairns-Blake-Dowd, or the Age- Period-Cohort model, with model selection based on in-sample goodness of fit measures.
Salvatory R. Kessy   +3 more
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Smoothing, Decomposing and Forecasting Mortality Rates

European Journal of Population, 2021
The Lee-Carter (LC) model represents a landmark paper in mortality forecasting. While having been widely accepted and adopted, the model has some limitations that hinder its performance. Some variants of the model have been proposed to deal with these drawbacks individually, none coped with them all at the same time.
Carlo G. Camarda, Ugofilippo Basellini
openaire   +2 more sources

Modeling and forecasting mortality rates

Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2011
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Mitchell, Daniel   +3 more
openaire   +1 more source

On Forecasting Mortality

The Milbank Quarterly, 1988
Official forecasts of mortality made by the U.S. Office of the Actuary throughout this century have consistently underestimated observed mortality declines. This is due, in part, to their reliance on the static extrapolation of past trends, an atheoretical statistical method that pays scant attention to the behavioral, medical, and social factors ...
openaire   +2 more sources

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