Results 251 to 260 of about 33,949 (297)

System Preparedness for Rising Kidney Replacement Therapy Demand: Late-Stage CKD Drives Costs, Healthcare Resource Utilisation and Environmental Impact in Switzerland. [PDF]

Adv Ther
Campbell-James T, Buff S, Nanchen G, Hall A, Rosemann T, Nicholson L, Priest S, Zara A, Hubbert L, Vecchio Rodriguez C, Wharton G, Pruijm M.   +11 more
europepmc   +1 more source

The declining but persistent burden of lower respiratory infections from secondhand smoke in children aged under 14 years: Global trends 1990-2021 and forecasts to 2035, based on a secondary dataset analysis of Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021. [PDF]

Tob Induc Dis
Yang F, Zhu Y, Hu C, Dong X, Liu C, Li Y, Pan Z, Yang Y, Jin X, He Q, Wang Q, Sun L, Li Q, Shen J.   +13 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Temporal Trends and Projections of the Burden of Decubitus Ulcers in China: A Cross-Sectional Study Based on the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. [PDF]

Health Sci Rep
Peng H.
europepmc   +1 more source

Global trends in the burden of non-Hodgkin Lymphoma: a comprehensive analysis from 1990 to 2045. [PDF]

Cancer Causes Control
Wang S, Wang J, Lin J.
europepmc   +1 more source

Using Forecast and Observed Weather Data to Assess Performance of Forecast Products in Identifying Heat Waves and Estimating Heat Wave Effects on Mortality [PDF]

Environmental Health Perspectives, 2014
Background: Heat wave and health warning systems are activated based on forecasts of health-threatening hot weather. Objective: We estimated heat–mortality associations based on forecast and observed weather data in Detroit, Michigan, and compared the ...
Kai Zhang, Joel Schwartz, Richard B Rood   +2 more
exaly   +2 more sources

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Modeling and Forecasting U.S. Mortality

Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1992
Abstract Time series methods are used to make long-run forecasts, with confidence intervals, of age-specific mortality in the United States from 1990 to 2065. First, the logs of the age-specific death rates are modeled as a linear function of an unobserved period-specific intensity index, with parameters depending on age.
Ronald Lee, Lawrence R Carter
exaly   +2 more sources

Modeling and forecasting mortality rates

Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2011
zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Mitchell, Daniel, Brockett, Patrick, Mendoza-Arriaga, Rafael, Muthuraman, Kumar   +3 more
openaire   +1 more source

Smoothing, Decomposing and Forecasting Mortality Rates

European Journal of Population, 2021
The Lee-Carter (LC) model represents a landmark paper in mortality forecasting. While having been widely accepted and adopted, the model has some limitations that hinder its performance. Some variants of the model have been proposed to deal with these drawbacks individually, none coped with them all at the same time.
Carlo G. Camarda, Ugofilippo Basellini
openaire   +2 more sources

On Forecasting Mortality

The Milbank Quarterly, 1988
Official forecasts of mortality made by the U.S. Office of the Actuary throughout this century have consistently underestimated observed mortality declines. This is due, in part, to their reliance on the static extrapolation of past trends, an atheoretical statistical method that pays scant attention to the behavioral, medical, and social factors ...
openaire   +2 more sources

Forecasting Mortality with Autoencoders: An Application to Italian Mortality Data

2023
Predictions of human survival probabilities are an extremely relevant topic in many fields of human activities and interests, including in particular the insurance field. The model considered the most reliable, and, for this reason, most widely used both in the literature and in practical applications, is the Lee–Carter model. In this paper, we propose
Michele La Rocca, Cira Perna, Marilena Sibillo, Antonio Vignes   +3 more
openaire   +1 more source