Results 91 to 100 of about 4,370 (253)

Epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty quantification in weather and climate models

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties over time on weather and climate time‐scales, estimated through ensembles that sample aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty using Bayesian neural networks for parameterisations in the Lorenz 1996 model. The spread shows the 16th and 84th percentiles.
Laura A. Mansfield, Hannah M. Christensen   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

The overconfidence bias and CEO: a literature overview

, 2017
This systematic review deals the overconfidence bias. It is a cognitive bias which is described as the tendency of people to overestimate their abilities, prospects and chances of success. For the purpose of the research we chose to examine the influence of overconfidence bias on CEOs’ decisionmaking and their work in a company.
Čuláková, Tereza, Kotrus, Peter, Uhlířová, Anna, Jirásek, Michal   +3 more
openaire   +1 more source

Overconfidence Bias as an Explanation of Economic Behaviours

Highlights in Business, Economics and Management
Overconfidence is a cognitive bias that primarily consists of three components: overestimation, overplacement, and overprecision. Overconfidence bias has a wide range of applications in real-life scenarios like medical, educational, and financial fields. This paper focuses on the impact of overconfidence bias in two economic areas: the stock market and
openaire   +1 more source

Ensemble reliability and the signal‐to‐noise paradox in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We derive a general expression for the ratio of predictable components (RPC) in terms of correlation, spread–error ratio, and total variance ratio. Physical constraints on the admissible solutions (i.e., real‐valued and non‐negative variances) provide a mechanism to identify statistically paradoxical sample combinations of reliability and correlation ...
Christopher D. Roberts, Frederic Vitart
wiley   +1 more source

Does overconfident CEO lead to corporate environmental misconducts? Evidence from China.

PLoS ONE
Enterprises are drawing growing criticism for violating environmental rules. The research examines whether and how top executives' mental bias leads to corporate environmental misconduct (CEI).
Lu Zhang, Dayuan Li, Zhaohua Xiao, Jialin Jiang, Fenghua Lu   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Historical remote sensing highlights long‐term persistence of Emperor Penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) colonies

Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation, EarlyView.
Remote sensing can reveal population dynamics of Antarctic penguin colonies. In this study, we analyze emperor penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) guano stains in remote sensing imagery and discover colony presence predating known records for 18 colonies across Antarctica.
Martynas Bielinis, Michelle LaRue, Benjamin M. Kraemer, Catalina Munteanu   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Analysis of Behavioral Biases Affecting Investment Decisions of Individual Investors using Analytical Hierarchy Process

Trends in Business and Economics
Individual investors exhibiting irrational behaviors may encounter a difficult situation in financial markets. Investor trends, also known as behavioral trends, have been introduced under different headlines in different studies.
Salih Aydın, Beyza Demir, Bekir Elmas
doaj   +1 more source

How Climate Change Shapes Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Performance in the MENA Countries

Sustainable Development, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Climate change, political stability, and sustainability are three central factors that interact and serve as key drivers of achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in the MENA (Middle East and North Africa) region. Accordingly, this paper aims to fill a vital research gap by examining the impacts of climate change, natural resource ...
Hicham Ayad, Alanoud Al‐Maadid, Mohamed Sami Ben Ali   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

The Role of Sharia Financial Literacy in Moderating the Effect of Overconfidence on Generation Z Investment Decisions in the Indonesian Capital Market

Jurnal Ilmiah Akuntansi
Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji pengaruh overconfidence terhadap keputusan investasi generasi Z di Indonesia serta peran literasi keuangan syariah sebagai variabel moderasi dalam hubungan tersebut. Metode yang digunakan adalah survei kuantitatif
Achmad Fauzi
doaj   +1 more source

Visionary, engineer, and experimenter: Three forms of entrepreneurship in the quest for product–market fit

Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal, EarlyView.
Abstract Research summary Entrepreneurship unfolds under uncertainty, which complicates entrepreneurs' efforts to align idea, action, and environment to reach product–market fit. To illuminate how entrepreneurs perform such alignment, we complement the theory‐based view and its focus on cognitive uncertainty with a discussion of behavioral uncertainty.
Thomas Zellweger, Djordje Djokovic
wiley   +1 more source