Local Search and the Evolution of World Models
Abstract An open question regarding how people develop their models of the world is how new candidates are generated for consideration out of infinitely many possibilities. We discuss the role that evolutionary mechanisms play in this process. Specifically, we argue that when it comes to developing a global world model, innovation is necessarily ...
Neil R. Bramley +3 more
wiley +1 more source
The Bold Surgeon Syndrome: Contemporary Analysis of Overconfidence, Training Gaps, and Patient Safety in Plastic Surgery. [PDF]
Cárdenas-Camarena L +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Improving the use of expert opinion in disease risk analysis for conservation translocations
Abstract Conservation translocations are subject to considerable uncertainty and risk, of which disease is one of the most recognized. To address disease risks, several protocols for qualitative disease risk analysis (qDRA) exist and are used for responsible conservation translocation planning.
John G. Ewen +13 more
wiley +1 more source
Cognitive biases in shoulder surgery decision-making: a narrative review of hidden influences and mitigation strategies. [PDF]
Fernainy C, Frederickson M, Menendez ME.
europepmc +1 more source
Mitigating the Effects of CEO Overconfidence: A Group Information Processing Perspective
ABSTRACT Research Question/Issue This study explores the moderating effects of board network centrality on the relationship between CEO overconfidence and acquisition intensity. Research Findings/Insights Using a panel of S&P 1500 firms from 2002 to 2018, we find that CEO overconfidence is positively associated with acquisition intensity.
Jun Xu +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Beyond Mankind, Self-Illusion and Medical Expertise of Artificial Intelligence in the Era of COVID-19. [PDF]
Claessens A +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Abstract This study examines the relationship between Chief Financial Officer (CFO) overconfidence and firm performance through the lens of environmental violations and constituency statutes. Drawing on stakeholder and upper echelons theories, we find that firms with overconfident CFOs are more likely to commit environmental violations, which ...
Panagiotis Andrikopoulos +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Educational Frameworks for Diagnostic Decision-Making in AI-Enhanced Head and Neck Pathology. [PDF]
Tavares T +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Does an optimistic tone in annual reports predict better financial and non‐financial performance?
Abstract In the current paper, we investigate whether management adopts an optimistic disclosure tone to impress the corporate audience or to provide incremental information (II) by anticipating positive corporate performance. Specifically, we test whether an optimistic tone in annual reports (ARs) is a positive predictor of better financial and non ...
Francesco Gangi +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Behaviorally informed deep reinforcement learning for portfolio optimization with loss aversion and overconfidence. [PDF]
Charkhestani A, Esfahanipour A.
europepmc +1 more source

