Entrepreneurial success and failure: Confidence and fallible judgement [PDF]
Excess entry – or the high failure rate of market-entry decisions – is often attributed to overconfidence exhibited by entreprene urs. We show analytically that whereas excess entry is an inevitable consequence of imperfect assessments of entrepreneurial
Natalia Karelaia, Robin Hogarth
core
Does the Better-Than-Average Effect Show That People Are Overconfident?: An Experiment. [PDF]
We conduct a proper test of the claim that people are overconfident, in the sense that they believe that they are better than others. The results of the experiment we present do not allow us to reject the hypotheses that the data has been generated by ...
Benoît, Jean-Pierre +2 more
core +1 more source
Overweighting private information: Three measures, one bias? [PDF]
, 2010 Overweighting private information is often used to explain various detrimental decisions. In behavioral economics and finance, it is usually modeled as a direct consequence of misperceiving signal reliability. This bias is typically dubbed overconfidence
Fellner, Gerlinde, Krügel, Sebastian
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Do High-Stakes Placement Exams Predict College Success? [PDF]
, 2012 Community colleges are typically assumed to be nonselective, open-access institutions. Yet access to college-level courses at such institutions is far from guaranteed: the vast majority of two-year institutions administer high-stakes exams to entering ...
Scott-Clayton, Judith E.
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Is overconfidence a social liability? The effect of verbal versus nonverbal expressions of confidence. [PDF]
, 2018 [Correction Notice: An Erratum for this article was reported in Vol 116(3) of Journal of Personality and Social Psychology (see record 2019-08943-002). In the article "Is Overconfidence a Social Liability?
Anderson, Cameron +4 more
core +1 more source
True Overconfidence, Revealed through Actions: An Experiment
, 2017 We report an experiment that infers true overconfidence in relative ability through actions, as opposed to reported beliefs. Subjects choose how to invest earnings from a skill task when the returns depend solely upon risk, or both risk and relative ...
Cheung, Stephen L., Johnstone, Lachlan
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Computing Graduate Employability: Sharing Practice [PDF]
, 2016 Computing is one of the largest subject areas in Higher Education, and is taught in almost every institution, graduating around 9,000 students each year.
Fincher, Sally, Finlay, Janet
core
Self-Confidence and Strategic Deterrence [PDF]
, 2011 We examine factors that may contribute to 'overconfidence' in relative ability on an intelligence test. We test experimentally for evidence of self-esteem concerns and instrumental strategic concerns.
Charness, Gary +2 more
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Count on Your Subordinates: Young Managers and Innovation Efficiency [PDF]
, 2019 We investigate the relationship between executives’ horizons and firms’ innovation efficiency. Motivated by Acharya, Myers, and Rajan’s (2011, JF) theory, we devise a measure of internal governance based on the difference in expected horizons between a ...
Gao, Lei +2 more
core +1 more source
Overconfidence effects and learning motivation refreshing BLS: An observational questionnaire study. [PDF]
Resusc Plus, 2023 Bushuven S +8 more
europepmc +1 more source