Results 31 to 40 of about 223 (124)
Two Tales of Uncertainty: Calibrating Overprecision With Self‐Regulated Entrepreneurial Learning
Strategic Change, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 273-285, March 2026.ABSTRACT Entrepreneurial success strongly depends on decision‐making under uncertainty. Uncertainty is particularly pronounced when entrepreneurs are confronted with novel situations characterized by an absence of information. While cognitive biases, such as overprecision, can have a negative impact on decision‐making processes by distorting ...
Julian Kolbe +2 more
wiley +1 more source
, 2018 The intercept here is meaningful and tells us the level of True Overplacement when all other variables are 0, i.e. True Overplacement in empathy, before taking the test, without incentives for accuracy.
Tatsuya Kameda (587732) +5 more
core +1 more source
The Discouraging Effect of Overconfidence
Southern Economic Journal, Volume 92, Issue 3, Page 716-727, January 2026.ABSTRACT Overconfidence is often viewed as encouraging entrepreneurs and CEOs to follow risky strategies such as entering new markets, engaging in innovation, or pursuing mergers and acquisitions. While such undertakings can generate excess returns and profits, overconfidence is frequently offered as an explanation for why so many business ventures ...
Cary Deck, Klajdi Bregu
wiley +1 more source
Confidence and information usage: Evidence from soil testing in India
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Volume 107, Issue 5, Page 1406-1437, October 2025.Abstract Informational barriers are often considered to be a major constraint to the adoption of improved farming practices, inputs, and technologies by smallholder farmers. In the Indian context, it is widely believed that farmers misapply chemical fertilizers because they lack scientific information on soil conditions and corresponding fertilizer ...
Jared Gars +4 more
wiley +1 more source
European Journal of Education, Volume 60, Issue 3, September 2025.ABSTRACT Students' accurate monitoring of their own performance is essential for achieving successful learning processes. In this work, we have aimed at analysing the role played by monetary incentives and by metacognitive feedback in improving students' miscalibration of their academic performance.
Gerardo Sabater‐Grande +2 more
wiley +1 more source
, 2018 Math (a) Overplacement and (b) True Overplacement without incentives for placement accuracy. Error bars are 95% confidence intervals.
Tatsuya Kameda (587732) +5 more
core +1 more source
Journal of Economics &Management Strategy, Volume 34, Issue 3, Page 674-695, Fall 2025.ABSTRACT Empirical evidence supports the conventional wisdom that entrepreneurs are more optimistic and overconfident than others. However, the same holds true for (top) managers. In a large incentivized survey ( n = 2404
Cognitive uncertainty and overconfidence
, 2022 Overconfidence is one of the most ubiquitous cognitive bias. There is copious evidence of overconfidence being relevant in a diverse set of economic domains.
Amelio, Andrea
core
Earn More Tomorrow: Overconfidence, Income Expectations, and Consumer Indebtedness
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Volume 57, Issue 5, Page 1071-1102, August 2025.Abstract This paper examines whether biased income expectations due to overconfidence lead to higher levels of debt taking. We show suggestive evidence for a link between overconfidence and borrowing behavior in a representative survey of German households (German Socio‐Economic Panel–Innovation Sample [GSOEP‐IS]).
ANTONIA GROHMANN +3 more
wiley +1 more source
, 2022 The main aim of this paper was to examine overconfidence in the domain of bullshit detection and the contributing factors that explain why some people have the blind spot about their own incompetence.
Jakub Šrol +2 more
core +1 more source