Results 31 to 40 of about 674 (143)

Is Underconfidence Favored over Overconfidence? An Experiment on the Perception of a Biased Self-Assessment [PDF]

, 2013
This paper reports findings of a laboratory experiment, which explores how elfassessment regarding the own relative performance is perceived by others. In particular, I investigate whether overconfident subjects or underconfident subjects are considered ...
Thoma, Carmen
core   +2 more sources

Managerial Overoptimism and Discretionary Disclosure

Journal of Business Finance &Accounting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We examine the effect of managerial overoptimism on discretionary disclosure of subjective information, such as earnings forecasts. The market applies a discount upon disclosure to capture the possibility that the revealed subjective expectation is too optimistic.
Nikolaj Niebuhr Lambertsen, Matthias Lassak   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Improving Developmental Education Assessment and Placement: Lessons From Community Colleges Across the Country [PDF]

, 2012
At open-access two-year public colleges, the goal of the traditional assessment and placement process is to match incoming students to the developmental or college-level courses for which they have adequate preparation; the process presumably increases ...
Hodara, Michelle, Jaggars, Shanna, Karp, Melinda Jane Mechur   +2 more
core   +2 more sources

Overconfidence in Labor Markets [PDF]

, 2020
This chapter reviews how worker overconfidence affects labor markets. Evidence from psychology and economics shows that in many situations, most people tend to overestimate their absolute skills, overplace themselves relative to others, and overestimate ...
A Bruhin, A Bruhin, A Conte, A Coutts, A Falk, A Heifetz, A Heifetz, A Koriat, A Sautmann, AM Goel, B Biais, B Fischhoff, B Hodges, B Holmstrom, B Kőszegi, B Kőszegi, C Camerer, C Guthrie, C Heath, C Merkle, C Prendergast, C Sanchez, C Starmer, CA Otto, CE Preston, CG Lord, D Dunning, D Dunning, D Dunning, D Dunning, D Eil, D Griffin, D Laibson, DA Moore, DA Moore, DA Moore, DE Haun, DM Cain, DT Miller, E Hoelzl, E Karni, E Van den Steen, E Van den Steen, EP Lazear, ES Phelps, F Ederer, F Gul, FD Blau, G Baker, G Charness, G Gigerenzer, G Milkovich, GM Becker, GP Baker, GW Brier, H Fang, H Herz, I Ben-David, I Erev, I Larkin, J Bratton, J Clark, J Klayman, J Krueger, J Kruger, J Kruger, J Laffont, J Levin, J Mincer, J Nafziger, J Spinnewijn, J Zábojník, J Zábojník, JD Carrillo, JE Russo, JF Schulz, JF Yates, JJ Christensen-Szalanski, JP Benoît, JP Benît, K Borch, KH Schlag, KH Schlag, KH Schlag, KP Cross, L Larwood, L Santos-Pinto, L Santos-Pinto, L Santos-Pinto, L Santos-Pinto, LE de la Rosa, M Ewers, M Humphery-Jenner, M Niederle, M Rabin, M Rothschild, M Waldman, M Wiswall, MD Alicke, MD Alicke, MD Grubb, MM Mobius, MN Baily, O Compte, O Svenson, P Bordalo, P Ring, P Schwardmann, PS Schaefer, R Bénabou, R Bénabou, R Deaves, R Trivers, RB Felson, RE Nisbett, RH Strotz, S DellaVigna, S DellaVigna, S Gervais, S Gervais, S Gervais, S Lichtenstein, S Morris, S Oskamp, SE Taylor, SV Burks, T Bewley, T Buser, T Buser, T Dohmen, T Hossain, T O’Donoghue, TR Zenger, U Gneezy, U Gneezy, U Hoffrage, U Malmendier, U Malmendier, U Malmendier, U Malmendier, W Von Hippel, WB MacLeod, WB MacLeod, WK Campbell, YJ Park, Z Grossman, Z Kunda, Z Murad   +147 more
core   +1 more source

Nobody Knows Better: Examining the Link Between Overconfidence and Conspiracy Beliefs

Applied Cognitive Psychology, Volume 40, Issue 3, May/June 2026.
ABSTRACT This research explored the relationship between overconfidence and conspiracy beliefs. In Study 1, cross‐sectional analyses demonstrated that both overconfidence in general knowledge and in climate change knowledge were positively associated with climate change conspiracy beliefs.
Haiyan Wang, Jan‐Willem van Prooijen
wiley   +1 more source

Default or reactance? Identity priming effects on overconfidence in Germany and Japan [PDF]

, 2015
This experimental study measures three types of overconfidence in the decision behavior of participants from Germany and Japan. In the first stage of the experiment subjects completed a Raven Progressive Matrices test and subsequently assessed their test
Duttle, Kai, Shichijo, Tatsuhiro
core  

The Relationship between Financial Literacy Misestimation and Misplacement from the Perspective of Inverse Differential Information and Stock Market Participation

International Journal of Financial Studies
This study proposes the inverse differential information theory, which predicts a positive relationship between misestimation and misplacement, two types of overconfidence. The inverse differential information theory contrasts with the existing theory of
Yun-Ho Lee, Weihua Ma
doaj   +1 more source

Are Entrepreneurs more Optimistic and Overconfident than Managers and Employees? [PDF]

, 2015
Empirical evidence supports the conventional wisdom that entrepreneurs are more optimistic and overconfident than others. However, the same holds true for top managers.
Koudstaal, Martin, Sloof, Randolph, van Praag, Mirjam   +2 more
core   +1 more source

Two Tales of Uncertainty: Calibrating Overprecision With Self‐Regulated Entrepreneurial Learning

Strategic Change, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 273-285, March 2026.
ABSTRACT Entrepreneurial success strongly depends on decision‐making under uncertainty. Uncertainty is particularly pronounced when entrepreneurs are confronted with novel situations characterized by an absence of information. While cognitive biases, such as overprecision, can have a negative impact on decision‐making processes by distorting ...
Julian Kolbe, Noah Bellwald, Alexander Paul Fust   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

How Does Overconfidence Affect Decision Making of the Green Product Manufacturer?

Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Volume 2019, Issue 1, 2019., 2019
Overconfidence is a universal and prevalent cognitive bias affecting decision making in operation management. In this paper, overconfidence is defined as a cognitive bias in which decision makers overestimate the accuracy of demand forecasting or (and) the demand itself. We call these two behaviors overprecision and overestimation, respectively.
Jian Liu, Hui Zhou, Miyu Wan, Lu Liu, Neale R. Smith   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source