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Encouraging Use of Seasonal Climate Forecasts by Farmers [PDF]
What encourages use of seasonal climate forecasts? Considerable effort is being applied in developing seasonal climate forecasts and demonstrating the potential benefits available to farmers from using seasonal climate forecasts.
Rod McCrea
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Improving Early-Season Wheat Yield Forecasts Driven by Probabilistic Seasonal Climate Forecasts
Ming Li, K Shuvo Bakar, Huidong Jin
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Communicating Uncertainty in Seasonal and Interannual Climate Forecasts in Europe [PDF]
Across Europe, organizations in different sectors are sensitive to climate variability and change, at a range of temporal scales from the seasonal to the interannual to the multi-decadal. Climate forecast providers face the challenge of communicating the uncertainty inherent in these forecasts to these decision-makers in a way that is transparent ...
Wändi Bruine de Bruin +2 more
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Seasonal Climate Forecasts for Medium-Term Electricity Demand Forecasting
Applied Energy, 2015Abstract Air temperature is an effective predictor for electricity demand, especially during hot periods where the need of electric air conditioning can be high. This paper presents for the first time an assessment of the use of seasonal climate forecasts of temperature for medium-term electricity demand prediction. The retrospective seasonal climate
Franco Catalano +2 more
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On the Verification of Seasonal Climate Forecasts
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 1981Abstract Readily available forecasts of winter season temperature anomalies for the continental United States are analyzed and compared to the observed anomalies for each of the past five winter seasons. Forcast skill is evaluated by different verification methodologies, and it is shown that a judgment of skill can be dependent on the particular ...
Thomas W. Bettge, David P. Baumhefner
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On the Prospects for Seasonal Climate Forecasting
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 1975Prediction of seasonal mean atmospheric conditions a year ahead is anticipated as the next major development in meteorological forecasting services that needs to be considered as a realistic possibility. This note summarizes in broad fashion the approaches and difficulties to be dealt with in seeking such a goal.
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Using Seasonal Climate Forecasts in Forecasting the Australian Wheat Crop
2000Recent research has pointed to the potential to forecast the Australian wheat crop using seasonal climate forecasts. Over the last decade seasonal climate outlooks have been issued for the wheat-growing season and regional crop yield modelling has progressed to an operational stage.
Stephens, D, Butler, D, Hammer, G
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Global Climatic Models and Their Potential for Seasonal Climatic Forecasting
2000Currently there are major initiatives in a number of research institutions to develop operational long-lead climatic prediction schemes. These schemes are all based on the intrinsic predictability of El Nino/Southern Oscillation events occurring in the low latitude Pacific Ocean.
Barrie Hunt, A. C. Hirst
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Seasonal climate predictability and forecasting: status and prospects
WIREs Climate Change, 2013Abstract Seasonal climate forecasts occupy an intermediate zone between weather forecasting and climate projections. They share with the numerical weather prediction the difficulty of initializing the simulations with a realistic state of the atmosphere and the need to periodically verify different aspects of ...
Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes +4 more
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Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk
2008Preface.- List of Contributors.- List of Participants.- Part 1. Seasonal Climate Forecasts in Context.- Chapter 1. Introduction M. Harrison et al..- Chapter 2. Seasonal Forecasts in Decision Making M. Harrison et al.- Part 2. The Production of Seasonal Climate Forecasts.- Chapter 3. Overview of Seasonal Forecasting D.L. Anderson.- Chapter 4.
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