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Channelling the future? The use of seasonal climate forecasts in climate adaptation.
2014Abstract This chapter contributes to understanding the context of risk management by bringing together a diversity of literatures pertinent to the use of seasonal climate forecasts (SCFs). In particular, it examines the role of such forecasts in assisting agricultural producers to adapt to climate variability and change. SCFs are projections of
L. Rickards, M. Howden, S. Crimp
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Through this dissertation, we contributed to the advancement and applicability of seasonal climate forecasts in agriculture and water management sectors.
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The Potential for Improved Statistical Seasonal Climate Forecasts
2000From its beginning, statistical climate prediction has been hampered by poor observational data coverage, both spatially and temporally; incomplete theoretical understanding of the climate system; availability of only basic statistical techniques and limited computational capabilities. Progress in recent years, and the potential for further improvement
Wasyl Drosdowsky, Rob Allan
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A General Systems Approach to Applying Seasonal Climate Forecasts
2000Agricultural and natural ecosystems and their associated business and government systems are diverse and varied, ranging from farming systems to water resource systems to species population systems to marketing and government policy systems, among others. These systems are dynamic and responsive to fluctuations in climate.
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Seasonal Forecasting for Climate Hazards: Prospects and Responses
Natural Hazards, 2001One of the most promising developments for early warning of climate hazards is seasonal climate forecasting. Already forecasts are operational in many parts of the tropics and sub-tropics, particularly for droughts and floods associated with ENSO events.
Sarah J. Murphy +8 more
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The Development of Seasonal and Inter-Annual Climate Forecasting
Climatic Change, 2005A review of the development and status of seasonal to inter-annual climate forecasting up until 2001 is presented covering not only the successes but also identifying some of the major challenges remaining. Included is discussion on the history of the enterprise; the scientific basis of modern seasonal to inter-annual prediction and its background of ...
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Seasonal forecasts, climatic change and human health
2008Awareness that many key aspects of public health are strongly influenced by climate is growing dramatically, driven by new research and experience and fears of climate change and the research needed to underpin policy developments in area is growing rapidly . This awareness has yet to translate into a practical use of climate knowledge by health policy-
Thomson, Madeleine C. (Ed.) +2 more
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SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTING AND THE RELEVANCE OF LOCAL KNOWLEDGE
Physical Geography, 1999Seasonal climatic forecasting is one of the more promising experimental technologies now being developed to help mitigate the risks posed by climatic hazards for agricultural production in developing nations. However, numerous studies of traditional agricultural communities have shown that farmers already often manage climatic risk through traditional ...
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Seasonal forecasts for an effective Drought Climate Service [PDF]
Mediterranean Basin is one of the hot spots of the planet affected by temperature rising and rainfall distribution modifications (IPCC, 2013). Moreover, it is characterized by a strong vulnerability due to centuries of natural resources overexploitation.
R Magno +3 more
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From dynamical predictions to seasonal climate forecasts
2008Producing a seasonal climate forecast from a dynamical model involves a great deal more than simply running the model and viewing the results. The first problem is to decide which dynamical model(s) should be run given the practical constraints of computing resources.
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