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Logic of subjective probability
CoRR, 2023 In this paper I discuss both syntax and semantics of subjective probability. The semantics determines ways of testing probability statements. Among important varieties of subjective probabilities are intersubjective probabilities and impersonal probabilities, and I will argue that well-tested impersonal probabilities acquire features of objective ...
openaire +2 more sources
Application of a naive Bayesians classifiers in assessing the supplier [PDF]
Trendovi u Poslovanju, 2017 The paper considers the class of interactive knowledge based systems whose main purpose of making proposals and assisting customers in making decisions. The mathematical model provides a set of examples of learning about the delivered series of outflows ...
Mijailović Snežana, Ilić Đorđe
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Is the subjective interpretation of quantum probabilities really inconsistent?
Theoria, 2009 Christopher Fuchs has recently offered a provocative version of quantum mechanical realism, which is based on the suggestion that quantum probabilities merit a subjective interpretation.
Lefteris Farmakis
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Evaluating Probabilities of Technical And Commercial Success And Using Them In Screening New Product Ideas [PDF]
Engineering and Technology Journal, 2010 The screening of new product ideas is perhaps the most critical activity in innovation process and development of new products, the process is associated with uncertainty and complexity.Probabilities of technical & commercial success which represents ...
Abdulamir Bektash Wali
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Evolutionary Random Access Game With Objective and Subjective Players
IEEE Access, 2021 We consider an evolutionary game on a graph under the condition that players perception of uncertainty and decision making can follow either an objective expected utility theory (EUT) model or a subjective prospect theory (PT) model.
Ahmed A. Alabdel Abass +2 more
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Estimating Subjective Probabilities [PDF]
, 2010 Subjective probabilities play a role in many economic decisions. There is a large theoretical literature on the elicitation of subjective probabilities, and an equally large empirical literature. However, there is a gulf between the two.
Rutström, E.E. +3 more
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Error Parsing: An alternative method of implementing social judgment theory
Judgment and Decision Making, 2015 We present a novel method of judgment analysis called Error Parsing, based upon an alternative method of implementing Social Judgment Theory (SJT). SJT and Error Parsing both posit the same three components of error in human judgment: error due to noise,
Crystal C. Hall, Daniel M. Oppenheimer
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Bio-based and Applied Economics, 2019 The exposure of farmers to different (and increasing) risks has been recognized by the EU policy, which supports several risk management tools through the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP).
Attilio Coletta +4 more
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Incorporating subjective survival information in mortality and change in health status predictions: A Bayesian approach [PDF]
Demographic ResearchBACKGROUND: Subjective survival probabilities incorporate individuals’ view about own future survival and they are associated with actual mortality patterns. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is twofold.
Apostolos Papachristos +1 more
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PCR5 and Neutrosophic Probability in Target Identification (revisited) [PDF]
Neutrosophic Sets and Systems, 2017 In this paper, we use PCR5 in order to fusion the information of two sources providing subjective probabilities of an event A to occur in the following form: chance that A occurs, indeterminate chance of occurrence of A, chance that A does not ...
Florentin Smarandache +4 more
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