Results 241 to 250 of about 8,961,288 (283)
Some of the next articles are maybe not open access.
The base rate neglect in episodic memory
Memory, 2020The main objective of the present research was, for the first time, to assess a potential similarity in the representational bases for the base rate neglect in memory versus conditional probability judgment. Participants learned target and filler words, each of which was presented on a separate list (List 1 or List 2) and in a distinct colour (red or ...
Marek Nieznański, Yong Lu
exaly +3 more sources
The paradoxical effects of time pressure on base rate neglect
Cognition, 2023Base rate neglect refers to the well-documented tendency for people to primarily rely on diagnostic information to identify event probabilities while discounting information about relative probabilities (base rates). It is often postulated that using base rate information requires some form of working memory intensive processes. However, recent studies
Henry Markovits
exaly +3 more sources
BASE RATE NEGLECT FOR THE WEALTH OF INTERACTING PEOPLE [PDF]
Advances in Complex Systems, 2010 Previous research investigating base rate neglect as a bias in human information processing has focused on isolated individuals. This study complements this research by showing that in settings of interacting individuals, especially in settings of social learning, where individuals can learn from one another, base rate neglect can increase a population'
Urbig, Diemo, DIEMO URBIG
openaire +5 more sources
Implicit and explicit processing on base rate neglect problems
Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology, 2023Base rate reasoning as assessed on Base rate neglect (BRN) Tasks has been studied extensively, with a sizable body of findings indicating that both logical (base rate) and belief-based (case description) processing contribute to responses on the task. Various task conditions have been found to influence which type of processing controls responding. The
Hideya Koshino, Robert B Ricco
exaly +3 more sources
Base-rate neglect in ALCOVE: A critical reevaluation.
Psychological Review, 1995 A recent hybrid model of categorization (Attention Learning Covering Map [ALCOVE]; J. K. Kruschke, 1992) has combined the most desirable properties of exemplar models with a connectionist architecture and learning rule. A critically important property of ALCOVE is its apparent ability to account for base-rate neglect, a phenomenon beyond the purview of
Lewandowsky, Stephan
openaire +2 more sources
Neglect the Base Rate: It's the Law! [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2012 If accurate prediction is the goal, and if information about the unconditional probability of the predicted event is available, a strong case can be made for using this information, i.e. for a Bayesian approach to inference. Not so rarely, the law calls for accurate prediction, e.g. if a bailing decision hinges on an estimate of recidivism risk.
openaire +3 more sources
Base rates: Both neglected and intuitive.
Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2014Base-rate neglect refers to the tendency for people to underweight base-rate probabilities in favor of diagnostic information. It is commonly held that base-rate neglect occurs because effortful (Type 2) reasoning is required to process base-rate information, whereas diagnostic information is accessible to fast, intuitive (Type 1) processing (e.g ...
Gordon Pennycook +3 more
openaire +2 more sources
2021
The likelihood of a diagnosis in a patient is directly related to the likelihood of that diagnosis in the general population. Rare diagnoses occur rarely and common diagnoses occur commonly. This is why every medical student has heard the saying, “when you hear hoofbeats, think horses not zebras.” This sage advice (albeit not applicable in Africa ...
openaire +1 more source
The likelihood of a diagnosis in a patient is directly related to the likelihood of that diagnosis in the general population. Rare diagnoses occur rarely and common diagnoses occur commonly. This is why every medical student has heard the saying, “when you hear hoofbeats, think horses not zebras.” This sage advice (albeit not applicable in Africa ...
openaire +1 more source
Teaching Pigeons to Commit Base-Rate Neglect
Psychological Science, 2005Whereas humans display base-rate neglect in a behavioral analogue of the base-rate problem, pigeons have been shown to behave optimally in a comparable task, appropriately weighting base-rate and case-cue information. Previous studies have shown that prior experience may interfere with optimal decisions for human subjects, a result consistent with the ...
Edmund, Fantino +2 more
openaire +2 more sources
Waiting for the bus: When base-rates refuse to be neglected
Cognition, 2007The paper reports the results from 16 versions of a simple probability estimation task, where probability estimates derived from base-rate information have to be modified by case knowledge. In the bus problem [adapted from Falk, R., Lipson, A., & Konold, C. (1994). The ups and downs of the hope function in a fruitless search. In G. Wright & P.
Teigen, K.H., Keren, G.B.
openaire +3 more sources