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Predicting Human Mortality: Quantitative Evaluation of Four Stochastic Models

open access: yesRisks, 2016
In this paper, we quantitatively compare the forecasts from four different mortality models. We consider one discrete-time model proposed by Lee and Carter (1992) and three continuous-time models: the Wills and Sherris (2011) model, the Feller process ...
Anastasia Novokreshchenova
doaj   +1 more source

Prediction of life expectancy using the Lee-Carter model [PDF]

open access: yes, 2013
The ageing of the population is a problem of many European countries including the Czech Republic. This problem is related to two main factors, the increase of life expectancy and the decline of birth rate.
Jindrová, Pavla, Slavíček, Ondřej
core   +1 more source

Mortality modelling with arrival of additional year of mortality data: Calibration and forecasting [PDF]

open access: yesDemographic Research
BACKGROUND: For commonly used mortality models, the existing estimates change with the recalibration of new data. This issue is also known as the lack of the new-data-invariant property.
Kenny Kam Kuen Mok   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Retiree Mortality Forecasting: A Partial Age-Range or a Full Age-Range Model?

open access: yesRisks, 2020
An essential input of annuity pricing is the future retiree mortality. From observed age-specific mortality data, modeling and forecasting can take place in two routes.
Han Lin Shang, Steven Haberman
doaj   +1 more source

Management of Melaleuca by Residents in South Florida

open access: yesEDIS, 2006
FE672, a 6-page fact sheet by Katherine Carter-Finn, Alan W. Hodges, Donna J. Lee, and Michael T. Olexa, describes the results of a survey of a random sample of households in the 10 southernmost counties of Florida. Includes references. Published by the
Katherine Carter-Finn   +3 more
doaj   +3 more sources

PEMBUATAN TABEL MORTALIA MELALUI MODEL LEE CARTER

open access: yesJurnal Lebesgue
The Lee-Carter model, proposed in 1992, is one of the most well-known methodologies for modeling mortality rates. This model is known for its simplicity and has been used successfully in America, Japan, and Australia. Basically, the Lee-Carter model is a
Taofik Hidayat
doaj   +1 more source

Improving mortality forecasting using a hybrid of Lee–Carter and stacking ensemble model

open access: yesBulletin of the National Research Centre, 2023
Background Mortality forecasting is a critical component in various fields, including public health, insurance, and pension planning, where accurate predictions are essential for informed decision-making.
Samuel Asante Gyamerah   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions [PDF]

open access: yes
We compare the short- to medium-term accuracy of five variants or extensions of the Lee-Carter method for mortality forecasting. These include the original Lee-Carter, the Lee-Miller and Booth-Maindonald-Smith variants, and the more flexible Hyndman ...
Heather Booth   +3 more
core   +2 more sources

Detección no supervisada de anomalías en sistemas fotovoltaicos mediante adaptación del modelo Lee-Carter

open access: yesInvestigación e Innovación en Ingenierías
Objetivo: Detectar comportamientos anómalos en paneles solares fotovoltaicos mediante la adaptación del modelo Lee-Carter y el uso de técnicas de detección no supervisada.
Diego Isaac Burgos Miranda   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Letter from Robert Lee Carter

open access: yes
Letter from Robert Lee Carter from the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP) to Christopher Columbus Henry, L. A. Ashley, and Ivory M. Davis. The letter states that Carter has not received a reply from Henry regarding his proposed trip to Houston.https://
Carter, Robert Lee
core   +3 more sources

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