Results 21 to 30 of about 1,971,483 (279)
Risks, 2018 Mortality forecasting has always been a target of study by academics and practitioners. Since the introduction and rising significance of securitization of risk in mortality and longevity, more in-depth studies regarding mortality have been carried out ...
Marie Angèle Cathleen Alijean +1 more
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Bayesian Population Forecasting: Extending the Lee-Carter Method [PDF]
Demography, 2015 AbstractIn this article, we develop a fully integrated and dynamic Bayesian approach to forecast populations by age and sex. The approach embeds the Lee-Carter type models for forecasting the age patterns, with associated measures of uncertainty, of fertility, mortality, immigration, and emigration within a cohort projection model.
Wisniowski, Arkadiusz (Arek) +4 more
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Convergence in male and female life expectancy: Direction, age pattern, and causes
Demographic Research, 2016 Background: The cornerstone of mortality- and life-expectancy forecasting in developed nations, the Lee-Carter model relies on assumptions of there being a dominant singular value that captures most of the variance within a matrix of age-specific ...
Benjamin Seligman +2 more
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Extending the Lee–Carter model: a three-way decomposition [PDF]
Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2010 In this paper, we focus on a Multidimensional Data Analysis approach to the Lee-Carter (LC) model of mortality trends . In particular, we extend the bilinear LC model and specify a new model based on a three-way structure, which incorporates a further component in the decomposition of the log-mortality rates. A multi-way component analysis is performed
RUSSOLILLO, Maria +2 more
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Estimation of Uncertainty in Mortality Projections Using State-Space Lee-Carter Model
Mathematics, 2020 The study develops alternatives of the classical Lee-Carter stochastic mortality model in assessment of uncertainty of mortality rates forecasts. We use the Lee-Carter model expressed as linear Gaussian state-space model or state-space model with ...
Rokas Gylys, Jonas Šiaulys
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The History and Economics of Melaleuca Management in South Florida
EDIS, 2006 FE670, a 4-page fact sheet by Katherine Carter-Finn, Alan W. Hodges, Donna J. Lee, and Michael T. Olexa, provides an overview melaleuca in South Florida, the economic damages and management history. Includes references. Published by the UF Department of
Katherine Carter-Finn +3 more
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Iran mortality rates using Lee-Carter model: Estimation and forecasting [PDF]
Iranian Journal of Insurance Research, 2013 Mortality forecasts are made in two ways: one is indirect forecasting through life expectancy forecasting and then converting it to age-specific death rate, and the second is direct forecasting of mortality rates.
A. Komijani, M. Koosheshi, L. Niakan
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Evaluating the performance of the lee-carter method for forecasting mortality [PDF]
Demography, 2001 Abstract Lee and Carter (LC) published a new statistical method for forecasting mortality in 1992. This paper examines its actual and hypothetical forecast errors, and compares them with Social Security forecast errors. Hypothetical historical projections suggest that LC tended to underproject gains, but by less than did Social Security.
R, Lee, T, Miller
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Management of Melaleuca by Residents in South Florida
EDIS, 2006 FE672, a 6-page fact sheet by Katherine Carter-Finn, Alan W. Hodges, Donna J. Lee, and Michael T. Olexa, describes the results of a survey of a random sample of households in the 10 southernmost counties of Florida. Includes references. Published by the
Katherine Carter-Finn +3 more
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Predicting Human Mortality: Quantitative Evaluation of Four Stochastic Models
Risks, 2016 In this paper, we quantitatively compare the forecasts from four different mortality models. We consider one discrete-time model proposed by Lee and Carter (1992) and three continuous-time models: the Wills and Sherris (2011) model, the Feller process ...
Anastasia Novokreshchenova
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