Results 101 to 110 of about 56,313 (235)
Overconfidence in Photometric Redshift Estimation
, 2016 We describe a new test of photometric redshift performance given a spectroscopic redshift sample. This test complements the traditional comparison of redshift {\it differences} by testing whether the probability density functions $p(z)$ have the correct {
Bhaskar, Ramya +2 more
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Pediatric Investigation, EarlyView.• Advanced large language models exhibited superior diagnostic accuracy compared to clinicians, particularly for rare diseases, with Claude‐3.5 Sonnet and o1‐preview demonstrating the highest consistency between query iterations. ABSTRACT Importance Rigorous evaluation of large language models (LLMs) in pediatric diagnosis using authentic clinical ...
Cristian Launes +12 more
wiley +1 more source
Gender and Overconfidence in the Kauffman Firm Survey
Studies in Business and Economics, 2019 While an emerging line of research has begun to examine how firm survival correlates with the psychological trait of overconfidence, almost none of this work looks at how this relationship is mediated or modified by the minority status of the individual ...
Young Baek, Florence Neymotin
doaj +1 more source
Self-Confidence and Timing of Entry [PDF]
This paper analyzes the impact of overconfidence on the timing of entry in markets, profits, and welfare. To do that the paper uses an endogenous timing model where (i) players have private information about costs and (ii) one player is overconfident and
Luís Santos-Pinto, Tiago Pires
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Permafrost and Periglacial Processes, EarlyView.ABSTRACT The Nacho Nyäk Tagé (Stewart River) watershed in central Yukon (Canada) is characterized by discontinuous permafrost that is locally highly sensitive to thaw. This study aims to map the spatial distribution of permafrost terrain disturbances (PTDs) in the watershed and model thaw susceptibility to support community‐led land‐use planning by the
Frederic Brieger +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Ambiguity and Gender Differences in Financial Decision Making: An Experimental Examination of Competence and Confidence Effects. [PDF]
This paper reports the results of an experiment that brings together psychological measures of competence and overconfidence with laboratory economic measures of individual valuations of uncertainty.
Jamie Kruse +2 more
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Precision Medical Sciences, EarlyView.Machine learning‐based predictive models outperform traditional risk scores in hemodialysis patients with comorbid urolithiasis by capturing nonlinear, dialysis‐specific interactions. These approaches enable more accurate prediction of stone recurrence, sepsis, hospitalization, and mortality, supporting personalized risk stratification and precision ...
Dipal Chaulagain +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Assessing the impact of model biases on subseasonal forecast skill
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.Relaxation experiments where the nudging was performed towards bias‐corrected integrations of the same model display significantly improved skill at weeks 3 and 4, particularly in the northern extratropics. This indicates that there is a large potential for improving dynamical subseasonal forecasting skill by improved treatment of model biases.
Frédéric Vitart, Magdalena Balmaseda
wiley +1 more source
Construction and validation of an overconfidence scale in investment decisions
Future Business JournalExisting studies that directly measure the three types of overconfidence—overprecision, overplacement, and overestimation—are largely exploratory, highlighting the need for further confirmatory research to establish robust overconfidence measures ...
Daniel Fonseca Costa +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Overconfidence in Search [PDF]
In a standard search model I relax the assumption that agents know the distribution of offers and characterize the behavioral and welfare consequences of overconfidence.
Dubra, J.
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