Results 211 to 220 of about 4,370 (253)

Calibrating deep classifiers with dynamic confidence propagation and adaptive normalization. [PDF]

Sci Rep
He P, Fu W, Wang L, Fu T.
europepmc   +1 more source

Gender and anxiety reveal distinct computational sources of underconfidence. [PDF]

Psychol Med
Katyal S, Fleming SM.
europepmc   +1 more source

Benchmarking reliability and calibration of LLMs for multi-cancer early detection test communication. [PDF]

JAMIA Open
Takabatake K, Rosito MS, Braun D, Marinac C, O'Donnell E, Parmigiani G.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

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Judgmental overconfidence: Three measures, one bias?

Journal of Economic Psychology, 2012
Abstract Overconfidence is used to explain various instances of detrimental decision making. In behavioral economic and finance models, it is usually captured by misperceiving the reliability of signals and results in overweighting private information.
Fellner, Gerlinde, Krügel, Sebastian
exaly   +4 more sources

The Heuristic of Representativeness and Overconfidence Bias in Entrepreneurs

Latin American Business Review, 2019
This study investigated the existence of the representativeness heuristic and the manifestation of overconfidence in entrepreneurs.
CARLOS Heitor Campani
exaly   +2 more sources

Overconfidence and Self-Serving Bias

2017
Overconfidence is manifested by the overestimation or exaggeration of one’s ability to perform a particular task successfully. It may take one of three forms: (i) overestimation of one’s actual performance, (ii) overplacement of one’s performance relative to others and (iii) excessive confidence in own beliefs.
Vikash Ramiah, Ramiah Vikash, Moosa Imad A   +2 more
exaly   +2 more sources

Acquisitions, Overconfident Managers and Self‐attribution Bias

European Financial Management, 2007
Abstract We examine whether acquisitions by overconfident managers generate superior abnormal returns and whether managerial overconfidence stems from self‐attribution. Self‐attribution bias suggests that overconfidence plays a greater role in higher order acquisition deals predicting lower wealth effects for higher order acquisition deals.
Petmezas, Dimitris, Doukas, John
openaire   +3 more sources

From Noise to Bias: Overconfidence in New Product Forecasting

Management Science, 2020
We study decision behavior in the selection, forecasting, and production for a new product. In a stylized behavioral model and five experiments, we generate new insight into when and why this combination of tasks can lead to overconfidence (specifically, overestimating the demand).
Daniel C. Feiler, Jordan D. Tong
openaire   +1 more source