The role of self-confidence in teamwork: experimental evidence. [PDF]
Exp EconBruhin A, Petros F, Santos-Pinto L.
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Biotechnology Approaches to Dairy Alternatives Through Precision Fermentation and Cellular Agriculture. [PDF]
Food Sci Anim ResourPurba RAP, Sangsawad P.
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Exploring Interaction between Genetically Predicted Body Mass Index and Serum 25-Hydroxyvitamin D Levels on the Odds for Psoriasis in UK Biobank and the HUNT Study: A Factorial Mendelian Randomization Study. [PDF]
JID InnovJenssen M +12 more
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Overprecision in Estimates of Physical Constants (OPE)
2023Are the reported uncertainties of physical constants overconfident? We aim to answer this question by analyzing the internationally recommended values of over 200 constants given by the Committee on Data for Science and Technology (CODATA).
Chan, Mitchell, Moore, Don A.
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Experts play a crucial role in modern organizations, but evidence regarding the soundness and reliability of their decision-making is mixed and often contradictory.
Sanghoon Kang, Jerry W. Kim
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Wide of the Mark: Evidence on the Underlying Causes of Overprecision in Judgment
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2015Over-precision is the most robust and least understood form of overconfidence. In an attempt to elucidate the underlying causes of over-precision in judgment, the present paper offers a new approach — examining people’s beliefs about the likelihood of chance events drawn from known probability distributions.
Don A. Moore +2 more
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COMPETING TO BE CERTAIN (BUT WRONG): SOCIAL PRESSURE AND OVERPRECISION IN JUDGMENT.
Academy of Management Proceedings, 2009We present two experiments in which advisors attempt to sell their advice, one in which advisors compete for influence in a market setting and one in which advisors and decision makers are paired throughout. Overprecision exists in both studies and helps advisors sell their advice. However, the market exacerbates overprecision.
JOSEPH R. RADZEVICK, DON A. MOORE
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The fragility of experts: A moderated-mediation model of expertise, identity threat, & overprecision
Academy of Management Proceedings, 2021Experts play a crucial role in modern organizations, but evidence regarding the soundness and reliability of their decision-making is mixed and often contradictory.
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COGNITIVE SKILLS AND CONFIDENCE: INTERRELATIONS WITH OVERESTIMATION, OVERPLACEMENT AND OVERPRECISION
Bulletin of Economic Research, 2015ABSTRACTThis experimental study measures the three major types of judgmental overconfidence in a within‐subjects design. Performance‐based overestimation and overplacement are elicited in a Raven Progressive Matrices test for general intelligence. Calibration‐based overprecision is evaluated in a forecasting by confidence intervals task.
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AbstractThis paper focuses on the effects of entrepreneurial overconfidence at new venture creation. By analyzing Global Entrepreneurship Monitor data and using the theory of planned behavior as a framework, the study provides new evidence on the relative or absolute nature of overconfidence in entrepreneurial skills and the effect of overprecision on ...
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