Results 101 to 110 of about 432 (117)

COMPETING TO BE CERTAIN (BUT WRONG): SOCIAL PRESSURE AND OVERPRECISION IN JUDGMENT.

Academy of Management Proceedings, 2009
We present two experiments in which advisors attempt to sell their advice, one in which advisors compete for influence in a market setting and one in which advisors and decision makers are paired throughout. Overprecision exists in both studies and helps advisors sell their advice. However, the market exacerbates overprecision.
JOSEPH R. RADZEVICK, DON A. MOORE
openaire   +1 more source

The fragility of experts: A moderated-mediation model of expertise, identity threat, & overprecision

Academy of Management Proceedings, 2021
Experts play a crucial role in modern organizations, but evidence regarding the soundness and reliability of their decision-making is mixed and often contradictory.
openaire   +1 more source

COGNITIVE SKILLS AND CONFIDENCE: INTERRELATIONS WITH OVERESTIMATION, OVERPLACEMENT AND OVERPRECISION

Bulletin of Economic Research, 2015
ABSTRACTThis experimental study measures the three major types of judgmental overconfidence in a within‐subjects design. Performance‐based overestimation and overplacement are elicited in a Raven Progressive Matrices test for general intelligence. Calibration‐based overprecision is evaluated in a forecasting by confidence intervals task.
openaire   +1 more source

Effect of the different forms of overconfidence on venture creation: Overestimation, overplacement and overprecision

Journal of Management & Organization, 2020
AbstractThis paper focuses on the effects of entrepreneurial overconfidence at new venture creation. By analyzing Global Entrepreneurship Monitor data and using the theory of planned behavior as a framework, the study provides new evidence on the relative or absolute nature of overconfidence in entrepreneurial skills and the effect of overprecision on ...
openaire   +1 more source

Overprecise forecasts

Review of Accounting Studies, 2022
Yi Dong, Xuejiao Liu, Gerald J. Lobo, Chenkai Ni   +3 more
openaire   +1 more source

“Unmotivated bias” and partisan hostility: Empirical evidence [PDF]

Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics, 2019
Extreme partisan animosity has been on the rise in the US and is prevalent around the world. This hostility is typically attributed to social group identity, motivated reasoning, or a combination thereof.
Daniel F. Stone
exaly   +1 more source

Don’t Get to the Point. Overprecision in Management Capital Expenditure Forecasts

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2023
Robert H. Davidson, Adam du Pon, Hari Ramasubramanian   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Overprecision is a property of thinking systems.

Psychological Review, 2023
Don A Moore
exaly  

Can financial literacy overconfidence be predicted by narcissistic tendencies?

Review of Behavioral Finance, 2021
Hayriye Dilek Hamurcu, Çagri Hamurcu
exaly  

Overprecision in Judgment

2015
Uriel Haran, Don A Moore, Elizabeth Tenney   +2 more
exaly