Results 91 to 100 of about 432 (117)

Learning motivation and self-assessment in health economics: a survey on overconfidence in healthcare providers. [PDF]

BMJ Open
Bushuven S, Bentele M, Trifunovic-Koenig M, Gerber B, Bentele S, Hagen F, Schoeffski O, Marung H, Strametz R.   +8 more
europepmc   +1 more source

The role of self-confidence in teamwork: experimental evidence. [PDF]

Exp Econ
Bruhin A, Petros F, Santos-Pinto L.
europepmc   +1 more source

Computer Self-Efficacy and Reactions to Feedback: Reopening the Debate in an Interpretive Experiment with Overconfident Students. [PDF]

Behav Sci (Basel)
Porto-Bellini CG, Serpa ML, Pereira RCF.
europepmc   +1 more source

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Wide of the mark: Evidence on the underlying causes of overprecision in judgment

Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 2015
Over-precision is the most robust and least understood form of overconfidence. In an attempt to elucidate the underlying causes of over-precision in judgment, the present paper offers a new approach — examining people’s beliefs about the likelihood of chance events drawn from known probability distributions.
Ashli B Carter, Don A Moore
exaly   +2 more sources

The Fragility of Experts: A Moderated-Mediation Model of Expertise, Expert Identity Threat, and Overprecision

Academy of Management Journal, 2022
Experts play a crucial role in modern organizations, but evidence regarding the soundness and reliability of their decision-making is mixed and often contradictory.
Jerry Kim
exaly   +2 more sources

Conversational Principles in Cognitive Biases: The Case of Overprecision in Interval Estimation

Conversational principles such as Grice’s maxim of Quantity (roughly: be informative) are essential to our ability to communicate efficiently. Due to their ubiquitous nature in language-based communication, they may interfere in a large variety of other cognitive tasks which at first glance may not seem linguistic in nature.
Marie-Christine Meyer, Titus von der Malsburg   +1 more
core   +8 more sources

Assumptions, Disagreement, and Overprecision: Theory and Evidence

Constructing beliefs about the world often requires simplifying assumptions. However, it is often cognitively costly or even impossible to consider how all possible assumptions might affect beliefs. We develop a formal model of individuals who properly recognize uncertainty conditional on their assumptions (“within-model uncertainty”), but do not fully
Andrew T. Little, Don A Moore, Ned Augenblick, Matthew Backus   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Subjective Probability Interval Estimates: A Simple and Effective Way to Reduce Overprecision in Judgment

, 2011
Overprecision in judgment is the most robust type of overconfidence, and the one least susceptible to debiasing. It refers to people’s excessive certainty in the accuracy of their estimates, predictions or beliefs. Research on overprecision finds that confidence intervals, estimated ranges that judges are confident will include the correct answer, tend
Uriel J. Haran (5457833)
openaire   +2 more sources

Ambiguity overprecision and optimal capital requirements in continuous time

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Qian Lin, WeiDong Tian, Li Jingyuan
exaly   +2 more sources

Overprecision in Estimates of Physical Constants (OPE)

2023
Are the reported uncertainties of physical constants overconfident? We aim to answer this question by analyzing the internationally recommended values of over 200 constants given by the Committee on Data for Science and Technology (CODATA).
Chan, Mitchell, Moore, Don A.
openaire   +1 more source