Results 41 to 50 of about 953 (161)

Managerial Overoptimism and Discretionary Disclosure

Journal of Business Finance &Accounting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We examine the effect of managerial overoptimism on discretionary disclosure of subjective information, such as earnings forecasts. The market applies a discount upon disclosure to capture the possibility that the revealed subjective expectation is too optimistic.
Nikolaj Niebuhr Lambertsen, Matthias Lassak   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Multi-Agent Simulation of Product Diffusion in Online Social Networks from the Perspective of Overconfidence and Network Effects

Sustainability, 2022
Online social networks (OSNs) have steadily become the primary mechanism of product promotion. However, previous studies have paid little concern to the irrational consumer behavior (e.g., overconfidence) and network effects that influence product ...
Xiaochao Wei, Yanfei Zhang, Qi Liao, G. Nie   +3 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Overconfidence in Phishing Email Detection [PDF]

Journal of the AIS, 2016
This study examines overconfidence in phishing email detection. Researchers believe that overconfidence (i.e., where one’s judgmental confidence exceeds one’s actual performance in decision making) can lead to one’s adopting risky behavior in uncertain ...
R. Paper, Jingguo Wang, Yuan Li, H. R. Rao   +3 more
semanticscholar   +3 more sources

Inventory record inaccuracy in supply chains: the role of workers’ behavior [PDF]

, 2014
Purpose This research aims at exploring the effect of inventory record inaccuracy due to behavioral aspects of workers on the order and inventory variance amplification.
BRUCCOLERI, Manfredi, Cannella, S, La Porta, G.   +2 more
core   +1 more source

Nobody Knows Better: Examining the Link Between Overconfidence and Conspiracy Beliefs

Applied Cognitive Psychology, Volume 40, Issue 3, May/June 2026.
ABSTRACT This research explored the relationship between overconfidence and conspiracy beliefs. In Study 1, cross‐sectional analyses demonstrated that both overconfidence in general knowledge and in climate change knowledge were positively associated with climate change conspiracy beliefs.
Haiyan Wang, Jan‐Willem van Prooijen
wiley   +1 more source

Overweighting private information: Three measures, one bias? [PDF]

, 2010
Overweighting private information is often used to explain various detrimental decisions. In behavioral economics and finance, it is usually modeled as a direct consequence of misperceiving signal reliability. This bias is typically dubbed overconfidence
Fellner, Gerlinde, Krügel, Sebastian
core  

Polyphonic Sound Event Tracking Using Linear Dynamical Systems [PDF]

, 2017
In this paper, a system for polyphonic sound event detection and tracking is proposed, based on spectrogram factorisation techniques and state space models.
Benetos, E, Lafay, G, Lagrange, M, Plumbley, MD   +3 more
core   +1 more source

Overplacement and Market Entry Decisions: A Modified Market Entry Game to Detect Nascent Entrepreneurs' Goal‐Motivated Reasoning Amid Radical Uncertainties

Strategic Change, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 163-175, March 2026.
ABSTRACT Overplacement, a form of overconfidence characterized by the distorted belief that one is better than others, is considered a key driver of nascent entrepreneurship. The entrepreneurship literature typically associates entrepreneurial overplacement with negative outcomes and attributes it to erroneous information processing. The potential role
Zsófia Vörös, Olivér Béla Kovács, Papp Tamás   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Overconfidence, incentives and digit ratio [PDF]

, 2016
This paper contributes to a better understanding of the biological underpinnings of overconfidence by analyzing performance predictions in the Cognitive Reflection Test with and without monetary incentives.
A Bosch-Domènech, A Mannes, B Crewther, C Camerer, C Cueva, CJ Kemper, CL Apicella, CL Apicella, D Moore, DDP Johnson, DDP Johnson, DM Grether, DR Carney, E Garbarino, J Clark, J Hönekopp, J Manning, J Oechssler, JM Coates, JT Manning, JT Manning, K Millet, L Festinger, L Stankov, M Constantinescu, M Myagkov, M Niederle, MA Lundeberg, ME Toplak, MM Galizzi, O Bock, P Brañas-Garza, PH Mehta, R Wrangham, RL Winkler, RT McKay, S Da Silva, S Della Vigna, S Frederick, S Lutchmaya, SD Levitt, SE Taylor, SE Taylor, SM Garcia, SN Paul, WFM De Bondt   +45 more
core   +1 more source

The Discouraging Effect of Overconfidence

Southern Economic Journal, Volume 92, Issue 3, Page 716-727, January 2026.
ABSTRACT Overconfidence is often viewed as encouraging entrepreneurs and CEOs to follow risky strategies such as entering new markets, engaging in innovation, or pursuing mergers and acquisitions. While such undertakings can generate excess returns and profits, overconfidence is frequently offered as an explanation for why so many business ventures ...
Cary Deck, Klajdi Bregu
wiley   +1 more source