Results 41 to 50 of about 432 (117)
State‐Dependent Relationship Between Cryptocurrency Returns and Credit Spreads
European Financial Management, Volume 32, Issue 1, Page 261-287, January 2026.ABSTRACT This study investigates how overconfident cryptocurrency traders influence the connection between returns and risk premia, proxied by option‐adjusted credit spreads. Using daily data from January 2021 to February 2025, we uncover asymmetry and state dependence: returns decline when spreads widen, particularly during crashes, yet they do not ...
Geul Lee, Doojin Ryu
wiley +1 more source
Construction and validation of an overconfidence scale in investment decisions
Future Business JournalExisting studies that directly measure the three types of overconfidence—overprecision, overplacement, and overestimation—are largely exploratory, highlighting the need for further confirmatory research to establish robust overconfidence measures ...
Daniel Fonseca Costa +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Confidence and information usage: Evidence from soil testing in India
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Volume 107, Issue 5, Page 1406-1437, October 2025.Abstract Informational barriers are often considered to be a major constraint to the adoption of improved farming practices, inputs, and technologies by smallholder farmers. In the Indian context, it is widely believed that farmers misapply chemical fertilizers because they lack scientific information on soil conditions and corresponding fertilizer ...
Jared Gars +4 more
wiley +1 more source
European Journal of Education, Volume 60, Issue 3, September 2025.ABSTRACT Students' accurate monitoring of their own performance is essential for achieving successful learning processes. In this work, we have aimed at analysing the role played by monetary incentives and by metacognitive feedback in improving students' miscalibration of their academic performance.
Gerardo Sabater‐Grande +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Journal of Economics &Management Strategy, Volume 34, Issue 3, Page 674-695, Fall 2025.ABSTRACT Empirical evidence supports the conventional wisdom that entrepreneurs are more optimistic and overconfident than others. However, the same holds true for (top) managers. In a large incentivized survey ( n = 2404
Journal of Risk and Insurance, Volume 92, Issue 1, Page 227-256, March 2025.Abstract In this paper, we examine the role of usage‐based auto insurance on customers' decisions to change their insurance coverage at the renewal. Using a sample of 135,540 customers, we study whether usage‐based insurance (UBI) can facilitate the upselling and cross‐selling efforts of the firm, possibly leading to higher coverage choices and ...
Miremad Soleymanian +2 more
wiley +1 more source
The effect of calibration training on the calibration of intelligence analysts' judgments
Applied Cognitive Psychology, Volume 38, Issue 5, September/October 2024.Abstract Experts are expected to make well‐calibrated judgments within their field, yet a voluminous literature demonstrates miscalibration in human judgment. Calibration training aimed at improving subsequent calibration performance offers a potential solution.
Megan O. Kelly, David R. Mandel
wiley +1 more source
"Unmotivated Bias" and Partisan Hostility: Empirical Evidence
, 2018 Extreme partisan animosity has been on the rise in the US and is prevalent around the world. This hostility is typically attributed to social group identity, motivated reasoning, or a combination thereof.
Daniel Stone
core +4 more sources
A Behavioral Demonstration of Overconfidence in Judgment [PDF]
, 2013 Overprecision—an excessive confidence that one knows the truth—is both the most durable and the least understood form of overconfidence. This article outlines an approach to the study of overprecision that avoids some of the methodological problems of ...
Moore, Don A, Mannes, Albert E
core +1 more source
A simple remedy for overprecision in judgment
Overprecision is the most robust type of overconfidence. We present a new method that significantly reduces this bias and offers insight into its underlying cause.
Carey K. Morewedge +2 more
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