Results 41 to 50 of about 179 (108)

The Discouraging Effect of Overconfidence

Southern Economic Journal, Volume 92, Issue 3, Page 716-727, January 2026.
ABSTRACT Overconfidence is often viewed as encouraging entrepreneurs and CEOs to follow risky strategies such as entering new markets, engaging in innovation, or pursuing mergers and acquisitions. While such undertakings can generate excess returns and profits, overconfidence is frequently offered as an explanation for why so many business ventures ...
Cary Deck, Klajdi Bregu
wiley   +1 more source

State‐Dependent Relationship Between Cryptocurrency Returns and Credit Spreads

European Financial Management, Volume 32, Issue 1, Page 261-287, January 2026.
ABSTRACT This study investigates how overconfident cryptocurrency traders influence the connection between returns and risk premia, proxied by option‐adjusted credit spreads. Using daily data from January 2021 to February 2025, we uncover asymmetry and state dependence: returns decline when spreads widen, particularly during crashes, yet they do not ...
Geul Lee, Doojin Ryu
wiley   +1 more source

Confidence and information usage: Evidence from soil testing in India 

American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Volume 107, Issue 5, Page 1406-1437, October 2025.
Abstract Informational barriers are often considered to be a major constraint to the adoption of improved farming practices, inputs, and technologies by smallholder farmers. In the Indian context, it is widely believed that farmers misapply chemical fertilizers because they lack scientific information on soil conditions and corresponding fertilizer ...
Jared Gars, Ram Fishman, Avinash Kishore, Yoav Rothler, Patrick S. Ward   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Construction and validation of an overconfidence scale in investment decisions

Future Business Journal
Existing studies that directly measure the three types of overconfidence—overprecision, overplacement, and overestimation—are largely exploratory, highlighting the need for further confirmatory research to establish robust overconfidence measures ...
Daniel Fonseca Costa, Cláudia Cardoso Soares, Bruno César de Melo Moreira, Adriano Olímpio Tonelli   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Overprecision in Estimates of Physical Constants

Science depends on accurate estimates—and on honest assessments of how uncertain those estimates are. This study shows that scientists often express too much confidence in their reported values of physical constants, such as the charge of an electron or the speed of light.
Don A Moore, Mitchell Chan
openaire   +1 more source

The Role of Monetary Incentives and Feedback on How Well Students Calibrate Their Academic Performance

European Journal of Education, Volume 60, Issue 3, September 2025.
ABSTRACT Students' accurate monitoring of their own performance is essential for achieving successful learning processes. In this work, we have aimed at analysing the role played by monetary incentives and by metacognitive feedback in improving students' miscalibration of their academic performance.
Gerardo Sabater‐Grande, Noemí Herranz‐Zarzoso, Aurora García‐Gallego   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Overprecision and (Ir)rational Inattention

Berlin School of Economics Discussion Papers ...
Bosch-Rosa, Ciril, Bulutay, Muhammed, Kassner, Bernhard   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Insurtech, sensor data, and changes in customers' coverage choices: Evidence from usage‐based automobile insurance

Journal of Risk and Insurance, Volume 92, Issue 1, Page 227-256, March 2025.
Abstract In this paper, we examine the role of usage‐based auto insurance on customers' decisions to change their insurance coverage at the renewal. Using a sample of 135,540 customers, we study whether usage‐based insurance (UBI) can facilitate the upselling and cross‐selling efforts of the firm, possibly leading to higher coverage choices and ...
Miremad Soleymanian, Charles B. Weinberg, Ting Zhu   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

The effect of calibration training on the calibration of intelligence analysts' judgments

Applied Cognitive Psychology, Volume 38, Issue 5, September/October 2024.
Abstract Experts are expected to make well‐calibrated judgments within their field, yet a voluminous literature demonstrates miscalibration in human judgment. Calibration training aimed at improving subsequent calibration performance offers a potential solution.
Megan O. Kelly, David R. Mandel
wiley   +1 more source