Results 31 to 40 of about 432 (117)

Gauging Overprecision in LLMs: An Empirical Study

CoRR
Recently, overconfidence in large language models (LLMs) has garnered considerable attention due to its fundamental importance in quantifying the trustworthiness of LLM generation. However, existing approaches prompt the \textit{black box LLMs} to produce their confidence (\textit{verbalized confidence}), which can be subject to many biases and ...
Adil Bahaj, Hamed Rahimi, Mohamed Chetouani, Mounir Ghogho   +3 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Government support, regional well‐being, and the pivots of UK SMEs during a crisis

European Management Review, EarlyView.
Abstract Pivoting—a substantive transformation of the established business model (e.g., reformulation of goods, services, processes, or organizational methods in a new or significantly improved manner)—has emerged as a crisis response strategy of small‐ and medium‐sized enterprises (SMEs).
Chau M. Chu, Bach Nguyen
wiley   +1 more source

Thinking orientation and overconfidence: a newsvendor study

Frontiers in Behavioral Economics
This study uses the newsvendor problem to investigate the correlations between thinking orientation, overconfidence, and economic outcome. We aim to shed light on possible interconnections between these variables and extend the existing conceptual models
Julian Wiesner, Ivan Đula, Andreas Größler   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

CEO Overconfidence, Industry Competition, and ESG Performance

Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, Volume 33, Issue 5, Page 7022-7038, September 2026.
ABSTRACT This study examines the interplay among CEO overconfidence, industry competition, and firms' ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) performance. With the growing importance of ESG management, firms are investing more in ESG initiatives as a strategic approach to mitigating downside risk. However, overconfident CEOs, characterized by their
Taehyung Kim, Jaeseog Na
wiley   +1 more source

Managerial Overoptimism and Discretionary Disclosure

Journal of Business Finance &Accounting, Volume 53, Issue 4, Page 1337-1356, August 2026.
ABSTRACT We examine the effect of managerial overoptimism on discretionary disclosure of subjective information, such as earnings forecasts. The market applies a discount upon disclosure to capture the possibility that the revealed subjective expectation is too optimistic.
Nikolaj Niebuhr Lambertsen, Matthias Lassak   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Nobody Knows Better: Examining the Link Between Overconfidence and Conspiracy Beliefs

Applied Cognitive Psychology, Volume 40, Issue 3, May/June 2026.
ABSTRACT This research explored the relationship between overconfidence and conspiracy beliefs. In Study 1, cross‐sectional analyses demonstrated that both overconfidence in general knowledge and in climate change knowledge were positively associated with climate change conspiracy beliefs.
Haiyan Wang, Jan‐Willem van Prooijen
wiley   +1 more source

Overplacement and Market Entry Decisions: A Modified Market Entry Game to Detect Nascent Entrepreneurs' Goal‐Motivated Reasoning Amid Radical Uncertainties

Strategic Change, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 163-175, March 2026.
ABSTRACT Overplacement, a form of overconfidence characterized by the distorted belief that one is better than others, is considered a key driver of nascent entrepreneurship. The entrepreneurship literature typically associates entrepreneurial overplacement with negative outcomes and attributes it to erroneous information processing. The potential role
Zsófia Vörös, Olivér Béla Kovács, Papp Tamás   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Correlation between overplacement, overprecision, and self-enhancement measures.

, 2018
Correlation between overplacement, overprecision, and self-enhancement measures.
Tatsuya Kameda (587732), Joseph Henrich (414301), Michael Muthukrishna (3090351), Takeshi Hamamura (5595067), Steven J. Heine (159290), Wataru Toyokawa (587730)   +5 more
core   +1 more source

Functional Neurological Disorder as a Disorder of Sensorimotor Inference Under Stress: A Neurocomputational Account

Biological Psychiatry Global Open Science
Functional neurological disorder (FND) sits at the intersection of psychiatry and neurology, causing disabling motor and sensory symptoms despite intact peripheral pathways. FND may reflect altered precision weighting within neural systems, such that the
Andrea Putica
doaj   +1 more source

The Discouraging Effect of Overconfidence

Southern Economic Journal, Volume 92, Issue 3, Page 716-727, January 2026.
ABSTRACT Overconfidence is often viewed as encouraging entrepreneurs and CEOs to follow risky strategies such as entering new markets, engaging in innovation, or pursuing mergers and acquisitions. While such undertakings can generate excess returns and profits, overconfidence is frequently offered as an explanation for why so many business ventures ...
Cary Deck, Klajdi Bregu
wiley   +1 more source