Results 11 to 20 of about 145 (89)

Overconfidence over the lifespan [PDF]

open access: yesJudgment and Decision Making, 2017
This research investigated how different forms of overconfidence correlate with age. Contrary to stereotypes that young people are more overconfident, the results provide little evidence that overestimation of one’s performance or overplacement of one’s ...
Julia P. Prims, Don A. Moore
doaj   +2 more sources

Overconfidence

open access: yesLexicon Philosophicum, 2021
Overconfidence occurs when persons overestimate their abilities in general or with respect to a specific task/context. This bias causes systematic errors, yet it is found in 70% of tested individuals, suggesting that this trait gives an adaptive ...
Gilberto Corbellini
doaj   +1 more source

Estimation of effective number of breeders and effective population size in an abundant and heavily exploited marine teleost. [PDF]

open access: yesEvol Appl
Abstract Obtaining reliable estimates of the effective number of breeders (Nb) and generational effective population size (Ne) for fishery‐important species is challenging because they are often iteroparous and highly abundant, which can lead to bias and imprecision.
Bertram A   +7 more
europepmc   +2 more sources

Deliberation in Guesstimation. [PDF]

open access: yesCogn Sci
Abstract In many real‐world settings, people often have to make judgments with incomplete information. Estimating unknown quantities without using precise quantitative modeling and data is called guesstimation, which is often needed in forecasting settings.
Salikutluk V, Jäkel F.
europepmc   +2 more sources

Overconfidence Across Cultures

open access: yesCollabra: Psychology, 2018
Overconfidence is a robust cognitive bias with far-reaching implications, but prior research on cultural differences in overconfidence has been conflicting.
Don A. Moore   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Research on Overconfidence in Decision-Making for the Capacity Recovery of Damaged Power Systems

open access: yesDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2014
This paper studies the influence of two types of overconfident behavior, overestimation and overprecision, on decision of capacity recovery when power system’s critical capacity is seriously damaged.
Xing Bao
doaj   +1 more source

Is overconfidence an individual difference?

open access: yesJudgment and Decision Making
Some scholars have treated overconfidence as an individual difference—that is, assuming the tendency to be overconfident is stable within a person and differs meaningfully from person to person. We question this assumption.
Sophia Li, Randall Hale, Don A. Moore
doaj   +1 more source

Thinking orientation and overconfidence: a newsvendor study

open access: yesFrontiers in Behavioral Economics
This study uses the newsvendor problem to investigate the correlations between thinking orientation, overconfidence, and economic outcome. We aim to shed light on possible interconnections between these variables and extend the existing conceptual models
Julian Wiesner   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

CEO Overconfidence and Corporate Social Responsibility: A Micro‐CSR Perspective

open access: yesCorporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Although research on micro‐level CSR has increasingly emphasized individual‐level antecedents, the role of CEO overconfidence has not been systematically integrated into the literature. To address this gap, a systematic literature review was undertaken of 62 studies on CEO overconfidence and CSR, revealing a mixed picture of positive, negative,
Jannis Kreinhop
wiley   +1 more source

Home - About - Disclaimer - Privacy