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Premium reserves play a vital role in ensuring that insurance firms can meet their future obligations to policyholders. Traditional fixed-rate approaches often fail to reflect market volatility, leading to potential misestimations.
Krishna Prafidya Romantica +3 more
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Towards a Global Understanding of Tree Mortality [PDF]
Rates of tree mortality are increasing globally, with implications for forests and climate. Yet, how and why these trends vary globally remain unknown. Developing a comprehensive assessment of global tree mortality will require systematically integrating
Senf, Cornelius +2 more
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During epidemic outbreaks, populations adapt their behavior in response to disease burden, fundamentally altering transmission dynamics. Despite this, most compartmental models assume constant contact rates throughout outbreaks.
Binod Pant +3 more
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Guaranteed Annuity Option Under Correlated and Regime-Switching Risks
Guaranteed annuity options (GAOs) allow policyholders to convert accumulated funds into life annuities at maturity at a guaranteed minimum rate. Thus, insurers are exposed to both investment and longevity risks.
Jude Martin B. Grozen, Rogemar S. Mamon
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Autocorrelation in Stochastic Models of Dutch Mortality Rates
This paper studies different stochastic mortality models with respect to its underlying assumptions. The Lee-Carter model, the rank-p SVD approximation model, the Weighted Least Squares model and the Poisson Bilinear model are discussed and applied to a Dutch data set.
openaire +2 more sources
StMoMo: Stochastic Mortality Modeling in R
In this paper we mirror the framework of generalized (non-)linear models to define the family of generalized age-period-cohort stochastic mortality models which encompasses the vast majority of stochastic mortality projection models proposed to date, including the well-known Lee-Carter and Cairns-Blake-Dowd models.
Andres, Villegas +2 more
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"Population Forecasts, Fiscal Policy, and Risk" [PDF]
This paper describes how stochastic population forecasts are used to inform and analyze policies related to government spending on the elderly, mainly in the context of the industrialized nations. The paper first presents methods for making probabilistic
Shripad Tuljapurkar
core
Cancer rates over age, time, and place: insights from stochastic models of heterogeneous populations [PDF]
Individuals at the same age in the same population differ along numerous risk factors that affect their chances of various causes of death. The frail and susceptible tend to die first.
Anatoli I. Yashin, James W. Vaupel
core
IntroductionAccurate in-hospital mortality prediction following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is crucial for clinical decision-making. Machine Learning (ML) and Data Mining methods have shown promise in improving medical prognosis accuracy ...
Nan Tang +8 more
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