Results 91 to 100 of about 8,249,197 (148)

WHOLE LIFE INSURANCE UTILIZING THE COMMISSIONERS METHOD AND THE VASICEK INTEREST RATE MODEL FOR PREMIUM RESERVE ANALYSIS

open access: yesBarekeng
Premium reserves play a vital role in ensuring that insurance firms can meet their future obligations to policyholders. Traditional fixed-rate approaches often fail to reflect market volatility, leading to potential misestimations.
Krishna Prafidya Romantica   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Towards a Global Understanding of Tree Mortality [PDF]

open access: yes
Rates of tree mortality are increasing globally, with implications for forests and climate. Yet, how and why these trends vary globally remain unknown. Developing a comprehensive assessment of global tree mortality will require systematically integrating
Senf, Cornelius   +2 more
core   +1 more source

The paradox of neglecting changes in behavior: How standard epidemic models misestimate both transmissibility and final epidemic size.

open access: yesPLoS Computational Biology
During epidemic outbreaks, populations adapt their behavior in response to disease burden, fundamentally altering transmission dynamics. Despite this, most compartmental models assume constant contact rates throughout outbreaks.
Binod Pant   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Guaranteed Annuity Option Under Correlated and Regime-Switching Risks

open access: yesRisks
Guaranteed annuity options (GAOs) allow policyholders to convert accumulated funds into life annuities at maturity at a guaranteed minimum rate. Thus, insurers are exposed to both investment and longevity risks.
Jude Martin B. Grozen, Rogemar S. Mamon
doaj   +1 more source

Autocorrelation in Stochastic Models of Dutch Mortality Rates

open access: yesMaRBLe, 2013
This paper studies different stochastic mortality models with respect to its underlying assumptions. The Lee-Carter model, the rank-p SVD approximation model, the Weighted Least Squares model and the Poisson Bilinear model are discussed and applied to a Dutch data set.
openaire   +2 more sources

StMoMo: Stochastic Mortality Modeling in R

open access: yes, 2018
In this paper we mirror the framework of generalized (non-)linear models to define the family of generalized age-period-cohort stochastic mortality models which encompasses the vast majority of stochastic mortality projection models proposed to date, including the well-known Lee-Carter and Cairns-Blake-Dowd models.
Andres, Villegas   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

"Population Forecasts, Fiscal Policy, and Risk" [PDF]

open access: yes
This paper describes how stochastic population forecasts are used to inform and analyze policies related to government spending on the elderly, mainly in the context of the industrialized nations. The paper first presents methods for making probabilistic
Shripad Tuljapurkar
core  

Cancer rates over age, time, and place: insights from stochastic models of heterogeneous populations [PDF]

open access: yes
Individuals at the same age in the same population differ along numerous risk factors that affect their chances of various causes of death. The frail and susceptible tend to die first.
Anatoli I. Yashin, James W. Vaupel
core  

Prediction of in-hospital mortality risk for patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction after primary PCI based on predictors selected by GRACE score and two feature selection methods

open access: yesFrontiers in Cardiovascular Medicine
IntroductionAccurate in-hospital mortality prediction following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) is crucial for clinical decision-making. Machine Learning (ML) and Data Mining methods have shown promise in improving medical prognosis accuracy ...
Nan Tang   +8 more
doaj   +1 more source

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