Results 61 to 70 of about 428,247 (157)

A parameterized approach to modeling and forecasting mortality [PDF]

, 2009
A new method is proposed of constructing mortality forecasts. This parameterized approach utilizes Generalized Linear Models (GLMs), based on heteroscedastic Poisson (non-additive) error structures, and using an orthonormal polynomial design matrix ...
Bell, Booth, Booth, Brillinger, Brouhns, Cox, Cox, Cramer, Currie, De Jong, Efron, Forfar, Gompertz, Goodman, Hagnell, Harvey, Heligman, Kendall, Keyfitz, Koissi, Ledermann, Lee, Lee, Lee, Lee, Mardia, McNown, McNown, P. Hatzopoulos, Pitacco, Pitacco, Renshaw, Renshaw, Renshaw, Renshaw, Renshaw, Renshaw, Renshaw, Renshaw, S. Haberman, Sithole, Tuljapurkar, Wilmoth   +42 more
core   +1 more source

Adding Shocks to a Prospective Mortality Model

Risks
This work proposes a simple model to take into account the annual volatility of the mortality level observed on the scale of a country like France in the construction of prospective mortality tables.
Frédéric Planchet, Guillaume Gautier de La Plaine   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Coherent forecasts of mortality with compositional data analysis

Demographic Research, 2017
Background: Mortality trends for subpopulations, e.g., countries in a region or provinces in a country, tend to change similarly over time. However, when forecasting subpopulations independently, the forecast mortality trends often diverge.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Jim Oeppen, James W. Vaupel   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

On the Modeling and Forecasting of Socioeconomic Mortality Differentials: An Application to Deprivation and Mortality in England [PDF]

, 2014
In any country, mortality rates and indices such as life expectancy usually differ across subpopulations, for example, defined by gender, geographic area, or socioeconomic variables (e.g., occupation, level of education, or income).
Haberman, S., Villegas, A.
core   +1 more source

Managing Mortality and Aging Risks with a Time-Varying Lee-Carter Model. [PDF]

Healthcare (Basel), 2023
Chen Z, Shi Y, Shu A.
europepmc   +1 more source

Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries

Genus, 2018
Background The Lee–Carter method and its later variants are widely accepted extrapolative methods for forecasting mortality and life expectancy in industrial countries due to their simplicity and availability of high quality long time series data ...
Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi, Stefano Mazzuco   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Predicting Mortality by Causes in the Republic of Bashkortostan Using the Lee-Carter Model. [PDF]

Stud Russ Econ Dev, 2021
Lakman IA, Askarov RA, Prudnikov VB, Askarova ZF, Timiryanova VM.   +4 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Robust forecasting of mortality and fertility rates: a functional data approach [PDF]

We propose a new method for forecasting age-specific mortality and fertility rates observed over time. Our approach allows for smooth functions of age, is robust for outlying years due to wars and epidemics, and provides a modelling framework that is ...
Md. Shahid Ullah, Rob J. Hyndman
core  

Evaluating Extensions to Coherent Mortality Forecasting Models

Risks, 2017
Coherent models were developed recently to forecast the mortality of two or more sub-populations simultaneously and to ensure long-term non-divergent mortality forecasts of sub-populations.
Syazreen Shair, Sachi Purcal, Nick Parr
doaj   +1 more source

The GLM framework of the Lee-Carter model: a multi-country study. [PDF]

J Appl Stat, 2022
Azman S, Pathmanathan D.
europepmc   +1 more source