Results 1 to 10 of about 30,610 (114)

Diabetes Mortality in the Post-Pandemic Era: What Recent Global Burden of Disease Data Reveals About COVID-19’s Lasting Impact [PDF]

open access: yesEpidemiologia
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted diabetes care globally and created a complex bidirectional health crisis. Recent forecasting efforts using pre-pandemic data projected substantial increases in diabetes mortality through 2030, raising concerns about ...
Kaustubh Wagh, Gerardo Chowell
doaj   +2 more sources

Design of 1-year mortality forecast at hospital admission: A machine learning approach

open access: yesHealth Informatics Journal, 2021
Palliative care is referred to a set of programs for patients that suffer life-limiting illnesses. These programs aim to maximize the quality of life (QoL) for the last stage of life.
Vicent Blanes-Selva   +5 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Model confidence sets and forecast combination: an application to age-specific mortality

open access: yesGenus, 2018
Background Model averaging combines forecasts obtained from a range of models, and it often produces more accurate forecasts than a forecast from a single model.
Han Lin Shang, Steven Haberman
doaj   +3 more sources

Credible Regression Approaches to Forecast Mortality for Populations with Limited Data

open access: yesRisks, 2019
In this paper, we propose a credible regression approach with random coefficients to model and forecast the mortality dynamics of a given population with limited data.
Apostolos Bozikas, Georgios Pitselis
doaj   +3 more sources

Assessing SARS-CoV-2-related mortality rate in Russian regions, based on the econometric model

open access: yesИнфекция и иммунитет, 2022
The objects of the study were the daily data on the population morbidity and mortality due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Russian regions, as well as regional medical, demographic and environmental data recorded in recent years.
Vladimir S. Stepanov
doaj   +1 more source

Markov-Switching Bayesian Vector Autoregression Model in Mortality Forecasting

open access: yesRisks, 2023
We apply a Markov-switching Bayesian vector autoregression (MSBVAR) model to mortality forecasting. MSBVAR has not previously been applied in this context, and our results show that it is a promising tool for mortality forecasting. Our model shows better
Wanying Fu   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Mortality forecast from gastroduodenal ulcer disease for different gender and age population groups in Ukraine [PDF]

open access: yesMedičnì Perspektivi, 2016
Until 2030 the ulcer mortality will have a growing trend as estimated by the World Health Organization. Detection of countries and population groups with high risks for the ulcer mortality is possible using forecast method. The authors made a forecast of
Duzhiy I.D.   +4 more
doaj   +3 more sources

Common Factor Cause-Specific Mortality Model

open access: yesRisks, 2021
Recent pension reforms in Europe have implemented a link between retirement age and life expectancy. The accurate forecast of life tables and life expectancy is hence paramount for governmental policy and financial institutions.
Geert Zittersteyn   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Should Selection of the Optimum Stochastic Mortality Model Be Based on the Original or the Logarithmic Scale of the Mortality Rate?

open access: yesRisks, 2023
Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models—in terms, that is,
Miguel Santolino
doaj   +1 more source

Application of Continuous Non-Gaussian Mortality Models with Markov Switchings to Forecast Mortality Rates

open access: yesApplied Sciences, 2022
The ongoing pandemic has resulted in the development of models dealing with the rate of virus spread and the modelling of mortality rates μx,t. A new method of modelling the mortality rates μx,t with different time intervals of higher and lower ...
Piotr Sliwka, Leslaw Socha
doaj   +1 more source

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