Results 1 to 10 of about 31,904 (111)
Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries
Genus, 2018 Background The Lee–Carter method and its later variants are widely accepted extrapolative methods for forecasting mortality and life expectancy in industrial countries due to their simplicity and availability of high quality long time series data ...
Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi +1 more
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Diabetes Mortality in the Post-Pandemic Era: What Recent Global Burden of Disease Data Reveals About COVID-19’s Lasting Impact [PDF]
EpidemiologiaThe COVID-19 pandemic disrupted diabetes care globally and created a complex bidirectional health crisis. Recent forecasting efforts using pre-pandemic data projected substantial increases in diabetes mortality through 2030, raising concerns about ...
Kaustubh Wagh, Gerardo Chowell
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Design of 1-year mortality forecast at hospital admission: A machine learning approach
Health Informatics Journal, 2021 Palliative care is referred to a set of programs for patients that suffer life-limiting illnesses. These programs aim to maximize the quality of life (QoL) for the last stage of life.
Vicent Blanes-Selva +5 more
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Model confidence sets and forecast combination: an application to age-specific mortality
Genus, 2018 Background Model averaging combines forecasts obtained from a range of models, and it often produces more accurate forecasts than a forecast from a single model.
Han Lin Shang, Steven Haberman
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Assessing SARS-CoV-2-related mortality rate in Russian regions, based on the econometric model
Инфекция и иммунитет, 2022 The objects of the study were the daily data on the population morbidity and mortality due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Russian regions, as well as regional medical, demographic and environmental data recorded in recent years.
Vladimir S. Stepanov
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Markov-Switching Bayesian Vector Autoregression Model in Mortality Forecasting
Risks, 2023 We apply a Markov-switching Bayesian vector autoregression (MSBVAR) model to mortality forecasting. MSBVAR has not previously been applied in this context, and our results show that it is a promising tool for mortality forecasting. Our model shows better
Wanying Fu +3 more
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Mortality forecast from gastroduodenal ulcer disease for different gender and age population groups in Ukraine [PDF]
Medičnì Perspektivi, 2016 Until 2030 the ulcer mortality will have a growing trend as estimated by the World Health Organization. Detection of countries and population groups with high risks for the ulcer mortality is possible using forecast method. The authors made a forecast of
Duzhiy I.D. +4 more
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Common Factor Cause-Specific Mortality Model
Risks, 2021 Recent pension reforms in Europe have implemented a link between retirement age and life expectancy. The accurate forecast of life tables and life expectancy is hence paramount for governmental policy and financial institutions.
Geert Zittersteyn +1 more
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Risks, 2023 Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models—in terms, that is,
Miguel Santolino
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Applied Sciences, 2022 The ongoing pandemic has resulted in the development of models dealing with the rate of virus spread and the modelling of mortality rates μx,t. A new method of modelling the mortality rates μx,t with different time intervals of higher and lower ...
Piotr Sliwka, Leslaw Socha
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