Results 21 to 30 of about 1,674,949 (238)

Hindcasts and forecasts of suicide mortality in US: A modeling study.

open access: yesPLoS Computational Biology, 2023
Deaths by suicide, as well as suicidal ideations, plans and attempts, have been increasing in the US for the past two decades. Deployment of effective interventions would require timely, geographically well-resolved estimates of suicide activity. In this
Sasikiran Kandula   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Evaluating Extensions to Coherent Mortality Forecasting Models

open access: yesRisks, 2017
Coherent models were developed recently to forecast the mortality of two or more sub-populations simultaneously and to ensure long-term non-divergent mortality forecasts of sub-populations.
Syazreen Shair, Sachi Purcal, Nick Parr
doaj   +1 more source

Towards a Global Understanding of Tree Mortality [PDF]

open access: yes
Rates of tree mortality are increasing globally, with implications for forests and climate. Yet, how and why these trends vary globally remain unknown. Developing a comprehensive assessment of global tree mortality will require systematically integrating
Senf, Cornelius   +2 more
core   +3 more sources

The impact of the choice of life table statistics when forecasting mortality

open access: yesDemographic Research, 2019
Background: Different ways to forecast mortality have been suggested, with many forecasting models based on the extrapolation of age-specific death rates.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling and forecasting sex differences in mortality: a sex-ratio approach

open access: yesGenus, 2018
Female and male life expectancies have converged in most industrialized societies in recent decades. To achieve coherent forecasts between females and males, this convergence needs to be considered when forecasting sex-specific mortality.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Tuberculosis in the Russian Federation: Prognosis and Epidemiological Models in a Situation After the COVID-19 Pandemic

open access: yesJournal of Epidemiology and Global Health, 2023
Aim Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, many support programs for tuberculosis (TB) patients have been discontinued and TB mass screening activities decreased worldwide, resulting in a decrease in new case detection and an increase in TB deaths (WHO, WHO ...
Anna Starshinova   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Předpoklady a metodika prognózování úmrtnosti v projekci obyvatelstva Česka na období 2023 až 2100 z dílny ČSÚ

open access: yesDemografie
Czechia has experienced a mortality decline in recent decades. To assess the position of Czechia in an international context and estimate possible future development, we defined a model population representing European mortality potential.
Klára Hulíková Tesárková   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Quasi-Simpson paradox in estimating the expected mortality rate from the SARS-CoV-2

open access: yesScience Progress, 2021
On January 30, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared SARS-CoV-2 a global pandemic, based on a high infection rate and a high case fatality rate (CFR).
Yair Y Shaki
doaj   +1 more source

Infant Mortality and Inflation in China: Based on the Mixed Frequency VAR Analyses

open access: yesFrontiers in Public Health, 2022
Reducing neonatal mortality is an important goal in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and with the outbreak of the new crown epidemic and severe global inflation, it is extremely important to explore the relationship between inflation and infant ...
Wei Jiang, Xin-yi Liu
doaj   +1 more source

Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness

open access: yesGenus, 2018
Background Given the increased link between retirement age and payments to the development in life expectancy, a precise and regular forecast of life expectancy is of utmost importance. The choice of the jump-off rates, i.e. the rates in the last year of
Lenny Stoeldraijer   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

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