Predicting the outcome of myocardial infarction in elderly and senile patients with type 2 diabetes
Медицинский совет, 2015 Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a relevant problem today. The extremely high prevalence, progressive course, multiple severe, sometimes disabling, complications, premature mortality, heavy financial burden - this is an incomplete list of the socio-economic ...
A. L. Terekhova +3 more
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COVID-19: How to make between-country comparisons
International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2020 Background: Different countries have adopted different containment and testing strategies for SARS-CoV-2. The difference in testing makes it difficult to compare the effect of different containment strategies.
Rutger A. Middelburg, Frits R. Rosendaal
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Evaluation of simple methods for regional mortality forecasts
Genus, 2018 Background In recent decades, considerable research effort has been dedicated to improving mortality forecasting methods. While making valuable contributions to the literature, the bulk of this research has focused on national populations—yet much ...
Tom Wilson
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Coherent forecasts of mortality with compositional data analysis
Demographic Research, 2017 Background: Mortality trends for subpopulations, e.g., countries in a region or provinces in a country, tend to change similarly over time. However, when forecasting subpopulations independently, the forecast mortality trends often diverge.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher +3 more
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Evaluation of Lee–Carter model to breast cancer mortality prediction in China and Pakistan
Frontiers in Oncology, 2023 BackgroundPrecise breast cancer–related mortality forecasts are required for public health program and healthcare service planning. A number of stochastic model–based approaches for predicting mortality have been developed.
Sumaira Mubarik +4 more
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Hindcasts and forecasts of suicide mortality in US: A modeling study.
PLoS Computational Biology, 2023 Deaths by suicide, as well as suicidal ideations, plans and attempts, have been increasing in the US for the past two decades. Deployment of effective interventions would require timely, geographically well-resolved estimates of suicide activity. In this
Sasikiran Kandula +4 more
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Forecasting and simulating mortality tables
Mathematical and Computer Modelling, 2009 zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
N. Miklós Arató +3 more
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Evaluating Extensions to Coherent Mortality Forecasting Models
Risks, 2017 Coherent models were developed recently to forecast the mortality of two or more sub-populations simultaneously and to ensure long-term non-divergent mortality forecasts of sub-populations.
Syazreen Shair, Sachi Purcal, Nick Parr
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Forecast attribution reveals enhanced heat mortality from climate change in British Columbia heatwave. [PDF]
Sci AdvIn 2021, Canada experienced one of the most extreme heatwaves ever seen anywhere on the globe. We use a weather forecast model to attribute health impacts to climate change.
Shapland CY +5 more
europepmc +2 more sources
A new method to estimate mortality in crisis-affected and resource-poor settings: validation study. [PDF]
, 2010 BACKGROUND: Data on mortality rates are crucial to guide health interventions in crisis-affected and resource-poor settings. The methods currently available to collect mortality data in such settings feature important methodological limitations.
Francesco Checchi +19 more
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