Results 21 to 30 of about 114,749 (302)

Evaluation of Lee–Carter model to breast cancer mortality prediction in China and Pakistan

open access: yesFrontiers in Oncology, 2023
BackgroundPrecise breast cancer–related mortality forecasts are required for public health program and healthcare service planning. A number of stochastic model–based approaches for predicting mortality have been developed.
Sumaira Mubarik   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Hindcasts and forecasts of suicide mortality in US: A modeling study.

open access: yesPLoS Computational Biology, 2023
Deaths by suicide, as well as suicidal ideations, plans and attempts, have been increasing in the US for the past two decades. Deployment of effective interventions would require timely, geographically well-resolved estimates of suicide activity. In this
Sasikiran Kandula   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Endogenous Fishing Mortalities: a State-Space Bioeconomic Model [PDF]

open access: yes, 2017
A methodology that endogenously determines catchability functions that link fi shing mortality with contemporaneous stock abundance is presented. We consider a stochastic age-structured model for a fishery composed by a number of fi shing units ...
Da Rocha, José María   +3 more
core   +4 more sources

Evaluating Extensions to Coherent Mortality Forecasting Models

open access: yesRisks, 2017
Coherent models were developed recently to forecast the mortality of two or more sub-populations simultaneously and to ensure long-term non-divergent mortality forecasts of sub-populations.
Syazreen Shair, Sachi Purcal, Nick Parr
doaj   +1 more source

A deep learning integrated Lee-Carter model [PDF]

open access: yes, 2019
In the field of mortality, the Lee–Carter based approach can be considered the milestone to forecast mortality rates among stochastic models. We could define a “Lee–Carter model family” that embraces all developments of this model, including its first ...
Levantesi, Susanna   +4 more
core   +1 more source

Forecasting China's mortality

open access: yesPopulation Review, 2013
China's life expectancy at birth is currently being debated; the 2010 census data may exaggerate the figure and its rate of increase. In this paper, with an extension of the Lee-Carter method for limited data, we use China's 1982, 1990 and 2000 censuses to forecast the mortality pattern and life expectancy for the 2000 to 2030 period.
Jiang, Quanbao   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

The impact of the choice of life table statistics when forecasting mortality

open access: yesDemographic Research, 2019
Background: Different ways to forecast mortality have been suggested, with many forecasting models based on the extrapolation of age-specific death rates.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling and forecasting sex differences in mortality: a sex-ratio approach

open access: yesGenus, 2018
Female and male life expectancies have converged in most industrialized societies in recent decades. To achieve coherent forecasts between females and males, this convergence needs to be considered when forecasting sex-specific mortality.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Tuberculosis in the Russian Federation: Prognosis and Epidemiological Models in a Situation After the COVID-19 Pandemic

open access: yesJournal of Epidemiology and Global Health, 2023
Aim Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, many support programs for tuberculosis (TB) patients have been discontinued and TB mass screening activities decreased worldwide, resulting in a decrease in new case detection and an increase in TB deaths (WHO, WHO ...
Anna Starshinova   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Infant Mortality and Inflation in China: Based on the Mixed Frequency VAR Analyses

open access: yesFrontiers in Public Health, 2022
Reducing neonatal mortality is an important goal in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and with the outbreak of the new crown epidemic and severe global inflation, it is extremely important to explore the relationship between inflation and infant ...
Wei Jiang, Xin-yi Liu
doaj   +1 more source

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