Results 31 to 40 of about 33,949 (297)

The impact of the choice of life table statistics when forecasting mortality

open access: yesDemographic Research, 2019
Background: Different ways to forecast mortality have been suggested, with many forecasting models based on the extrapolation of age-specific death rates.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Modelling and forecasting mortality in Spain

open access: yesEuropean Journal of Operational Research, 2008
[EN] Experience shows that static life tables overestimate death probabilities. As a consequence of this overestimation the premiums for annuities, pensions and life insurance are not what they actually should be, with negative effects for insurance companies or policy-holders.
Ana Debón   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Modeling and forecasting sex differences in mortality: a sex-ratio approach

open access: yesGenus, 2018
Female and male life expectancies have converged in most industrialized societies in recent decades. To achieve coherent forecasts between females and males, this convergence needs to be considered when forecasting sex-specific mortality.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Tuberculosis in the Russian Federation: Prognosis and Epidemiological Models in a Situation After the COVID-19 Pandemic

open access: yesJournal of Epidemiology and Global Health, 2023
Aim Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, many support programs for tuberculosis (TB) patients have been discontinued and TB mass screening activities decreased worldwide, resulting in a decrease in new case detection and an increase in TB deaths (WHO, WHO ...
Anna Starshinova   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Infant Mortality and Inflation in China: Based on the Mixed Frequency VAR Analyses

open access: yesFrontiers in Public Health, 2022
Reducing neonatal mortality is an important goal in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and with the outbreak of the new crown epidemic and severe global inflation, it is extremely important to explore the relationship between inflation and infant ...
Wei Jiang, Xin-yi Liu
doaj   +1 more source

Quasi-Simpson paradox in estimating the expected mortality rate from the SARS-CoV-2

open access: yesScience Progress, 2021
On January 30, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared SARS-CoV-2 a global pandemic, based on a high infection rate and a high case fatality rate (CFR).
Yair Y Shaki
doaj   +1 more source

Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness

open access: yesGenus, 2018
Background Given the increased link between retirement age and payments to the development in life expectancy, a precise and regular forecast of life expectancy is of utmost importance. The choice of the jump-off rates, i.e. the rates in the last year of
Lenny Stoeldraijer   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

A multi-country comparison of stochastic models of breast cancer mortality with P-splines smoothing approach

open access: yesBMC Medical Research Methodology, 2020
Background Precise predictions of incidence and mortality rates due to breast cancer (BC) are required for planning of public health programs as well as for clinical services.
Sumaira Mubarik, Ying Hu, Chuanhua Yu
doaj   +1 more source

A Comparative Analysis of the Forecasted Mortality Rate under Normal Conditions and the COVID-19 Excess Mortality Rate in Malaysia

open access: yesJournal of Mathematics, 2022
SARS-CoV-2, known as COVID-19, has affected the entire world, resulting in an unexpected death rate as compared to the death probability before the pandemic.
Robiaatul Adawiah Edrus   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

An autopsy study of maternal mortality in Mozambique: the contribution of infectious diseases. [PDF]

open access: yes, 2008
BACKGROUND: Maternal mortality is a major health problem concentrated in resource-poor regions. Accurate data on its causes using rigorous methods is lacking, but is essential to guide policy-makers and health professionals to reduce this intolerable ...
Llorenç Quintó   +41 more
core   +1 more source

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