Results 31 to 40 of about 114,749 (302)

Quasi-Simpson paradox in estimating the expected mortality rate from the SARS-CoV-2

Science Progress, 2021
On January 30, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared SARS-CoV-2 a global pandemic, based on a high infection rate and a high case fatality rate (CFR).
Yair Y Shaki
doaj   +1 more source

Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness

Genus, 2018
Background Given the increased link between retirement age and payments to the development in life expectancy, a precise and regular forecast of life expectancy is of utmost importance. The choice of the jump-off rates, i.e. the rates in the last year of
Lenny Stoeldraijer, Coen van Duin, Leo van Wissen, Fanny Janssen   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Comparative Analysis of the Forecasted Mortality Rate under Normal Conditions and the COVID-19 Excess Mortality Rate in Malaysia

Journal of Mathematics, 2022
SARS-CoV-2, known as COVID-19, has affected the entire world, resulting in an unexpected death rate as compared to the death probability before the pandemic.
Robiaatul Adawiah Edrus, Zailan Siri, Mohd Azmi Haron, Muhammad Aslam Mohd Safari, Mohammed K. A. Kaabar   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Stochastic modeling of mortality rates and Mortality-at-Risk forecast by taking conditional heteroscedasticity effect into account

Heliyon, 2021
Mortality and mortality rate have become the major issues in insurance industries, for instance, life insurance and pension fund. Such industries will, in particular, be concerned with the quantification of risk attached, say longevity risk, to insurance
Khreshna Syuhada, Arief Hakim
doaj   +1 more source

Mortality Index Simulation for Forecasting Malaysian Mortality Rates

ASM Science Journal, 2023
Mortality studies are very important in demography and actuarial areas because they assist policymakers and life insurers in managing longevity and mortality risks. In recent decades, many extrapolative mortality models have been developed following the Lee-Carter model.
Pavitra Sivasundaram, Rozita Ramli, Norkhairunnisa Redzwan   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Předpoklady a metodika prognózování úmrtnosti v projekci obyvatelstva Česka na období 2023 až 2100 z dílny ČSÚ

Demografie
Czechia has experienced a mortality decline in recent decades. To assess the position of Czechia in an international context and estimate possible future development, we defined a model population representing European mortality potential.
Klára Hulíková Tesárková , Petr Mazouch, Adéla Pola   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A multi-country comparison of stochastic models of breast cancer mortality with P-splines smoothing approach

BMC Medical Research Methodology, 2020
Background Precise predictions of incidence and mortality rates due to breast cancer (BC) are required for planning of public health programs as well as for clinical services.
Sumaira Mubarik, Ying Hu, Chuanhua Yu
doaj   +1 more source

The mortality of the Italian population: Smoothing techniques on the Lee--Carter model

, 2011
Several approaches have been developed for forecasting mortality using the stochastic model. In particular, the Lee-Carter model has become widely used and there have been various extensions and modifications proposed to attain a broader interpretation ...
D'Amato, Valeria, Piscopo, Gabriella, Russolillo, Maria   +2 more
core   +1 more source

Mortality density forecasts: An analysis of six stochastic mortality models [PDF]

Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2008
Abstract This paper develops a framework for developing forecasts of future mortality rates. We discuss the suitability of six stochastic mortality models for forecasting future mortality and estimating the density of mortality rates at different ages.
Andrew J. G. Cairns, David P. Blake, Kevin Dowd, Guy Coughlan, David Epstein, Marwa Khalaf-Allah   +5 more
openaire   +1 more source

A Preliminary Investigation of a Single Shock Impact on Italian Mortality Rates Using STMF Data: A Case Study of COVID-19

Data, 2023
Mortality shocks, such as pandemics, threaten the consolidated longevity improvements, confirmed in the last decades for the majority of western countries.
Maria Francesca Carfora, Albina Orlando
doaj   +1 more source