Results 11 to 20 of about 1,674,949 (238)
Review of Nature-Inspired Forecast Combination Techniques [PDF]
Effective and efficient planning in various areas can be significantly supported by forecasting a variable like an economy growth rate or product demand numbers for a future point in time. More than one forecast for the same variable is often available,
Gabrys, Bogdan, Lemke, Christiane
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Forecast combination in revenue management demand forecasting. [PDF]
The domain of multi level forecast combination is a challenging new domain containing a large potential for forecast improvements. This thesis presents a theoretical and experimental analysis of different types of forecast diversification on forecast ...
Riedel, Silvia
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Risks, 2017 This work proposes a backtesting analysis that compares the Lee–Carter and the Cairns–Blake–Dowd mortality models, employing Italian data. The mortality data come from the Italian National Statistics Institute (ISTAT) database and span the period 1975 ...
Carlo Maccheroni, Samuel Nocito
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Predicting the outcome of myocardial infarction in elderly and senile patients with type 2 diabetes
Медицинский совет, 2015 Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a relevant problem today. The extremely high prevalence, progressive course, multiple severe, sometimes disabling, complications, premature mortality, heavy financial burden - this is an incomplete list of the socio-economic ...
A. L. Terekhova +3 more
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ARMA Models for Mortality Forecast
Lithuanian Journal of Statistics, 2016 In the last several decades, many countries have been paying a lot of attention to mortality forecastingbecause of high longevity risk. The purpose of this paper is to analyze mortality characteristics of Baltic countries andmake predictions using ARMA ...
Natalja Šiškina, Jonas Šiaulys
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COVID-19: How to make between-country comparisons
International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2020 Background: Different countries have adopted different containment and testing strategies for SARS-CoV-2. The difference in testing makes it difficult to compare the effect of different containment strategies.
Rutger A. Middelburg, Frits R. Rosendaal
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Evaluation of simple methods for regional mortality forecasts
Genus, 2018 Background In recent decades, considerable research effort has been dedicated to improving mortality forecasting methods. While making valuable contributions to the literature, the bulk of this research has focused on national populations—yet much ...
Tom Wilson
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Coherent forecasts of mortality with compositional data analysis
Demographic Research, 2017 Background: Mortality trends for subpopulations, e.g., countries in a region or provinces in a country, tend to change similarly over time. However, when forecasting subpopulations independently, the forecast mortality trends often diverge.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher +3 more
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Evaluation of Lee–Carter model to breast cancer mortality prediction in China and Pakistan
Frontiers in Oncology, 2023 BackgroundPrecise breast cancer–related mortality forecasts are required for public health program and healthcare service planning. A number of stochastic model–based approaches for predicting mortality have been developed.
Sumaira Mubarik +4 more
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The contribution of forecast uncertainty to lifespan uncertainty [PDF]
Demographic ResearchBACKGROUND: Period lifespan variability is sometimes interpreted as an indicator of lifespan uncertainty for individual cohort members. Is this an admissible interpretation for living cohort members, given that future death rates are not precisely known?
Ricarda Duerst +2 more
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