Results 31 to 40 of about 29,512 (260)

A multi-country comparison of stochastic models of breast cancer mortality with P-splines smoothing approach

open access: yesBMC Medical Research Methodology, 2020
Background Precise predictions of incidence and mortality rates due to breast cancer (BC) are required for planning of public health programs as well as for clinical services.
Sumaira Mubarik, Ying Hu, Chuanhua Yu
doaj   +1 more source

Mortality Index Simulation for Forecasting Malaysian Mortality Rates

open access: yesASM Science Journal, 2023
Mortality studies are very important in demography and actuarial areas because they assist policymakers and life insurers in managing longevity and mortality risks. In recent decades, many extrapolative mortality models have been developed following the Lee-Carter model.
Pavitra Sivasundaram   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Předpoklady a metodika prognózování úmrtnosti v projekci obyvatelstva Česka na období 2023 až 2100 z dílny ČSÚ

open access: yesDemografie
Czechia has experienced a mortality decline in recent decades. To assess the position of Czechia in an international context and estimate possible future development, we defined a model population representing European mortality potential.
Klára Hulíková Tesárková   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Preliminary Investigation of a Single Shock Impact on Italian Mortality Rates Using STMF Data: A Case Study of COVID-19

open access: yesData, 2023
Mortality shocks, such as pandemics, threaten the consolidated longevity improvements, confirmed in the last decades for the majority of western countries.
Maria Francesca Carfora, Albina Orlando
doaj   +1 more source

Mortality density forecasts: An analysis of six stochastic mortality models [PDF]

open access: yesInsurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2008
Abstract This paper develops a framework for developing forecasts of future mortality rates. We discuss the suitability of six stochastic mortality models for forecasting future mortality and estimating the density of mortality rates at different ages.
Andrew J. G. Cairns   +5 more
openaire   +1 more source

Well beyond the 60s? The impact of a pandemic on the growth of the older population

open access: yesGeriatrics, Gerontology and Aging, 2023
Contrary to expectations that the first decades of the 21st century would experience an increase in lived time, the 2020s cast doubts on the future of old age.
Ana Amélia Camarano
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting Neonatal Mortality in Portugal

open access: yesITISE 2023, 2023
In order to achieve a more efficient allocation of healthcare resources in the near future, it is crucial to understand the patterns and causes of excess mortality and hospitalizations. Neonatal mortality still poses a significant challenge, particularly in developed nations where the mortality rates are already low and healthcare resources are ...
Rodrigo B. Ventura   +7 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Probabilistic mortality forecasting with varying age-specific survival improvements

open access: yesGenus, 2017
Many mortality forecasting approaches extrapolate past trends. Their predictions of the future development can be quite precise as long as turning points and/or age-shifts of mortality decline are not present. To account even for such mortality dynamics,
Christina Bohk-Ewald, Roland Rau
doaj   +1 more source

Utility of Computed Tomography Surveillance of Asymptomatic Infection in Children and Young Adults Before Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplant

open access: yesPediatric Blood &Cancer, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Asymptomatic infection poses a significant risk for children undergoing hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Pre‐transplant surveillance computed tomography (CT) is commonly used to identify occult infection, though its diagnostic yield remains uncertain.
Tyler Obermark   +9 more
wiley   +1 more source

Calendar Effect and In-Sample Forecasting Applied to Mesothelioma Mortality Data

open access: yesMathematics, 2021
In this paper, we apply and further illustrate a recently developed extended continuous chain ladder model to forecast mesothelioma deaths. Making such a forecast has always been a challenge for insurance companies as exposure is difficult or impossible ...
Alex Isakson   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

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