Results 31 to 40 of about 17,005,416 (140)
تحقیقات سلامت در جامعه, 2022 Introduction and purpose: Accidents are one of the main causes of death that impose a great socioeconomic burden on society. This study aimed to model and predict the trend of mortality due to accidents in Golestan province, Iran, from 2011 to 2020 ...
Alireza Heidari +5 more
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Markov-Switching Bayesian Vector Autoregression Model in Mortality Forecasting
Risks, 2023 We apply a Markov-switching Bayesian vector autoregression (MSBVAR) model to mortality forecasting. MSBVAR has not previously been applied in this context, and our results show that it is a promising tool for mortality forecasting. Our model shows better
Wanying Fu +3 more
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Credible Regression Approaches to Forecast Mortality for Populations with Limited Data
Risks, 2019 In this paper, we propose a credible regression approach with random coefficients to model and forecast the mortality dynamics of a given population with limited data.
Apostolos Bozikas, Georgios Pitselis
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A Comparison of Forecasting Mortality Models Using Resampling Methods
Mathematics, 2020 The accuracy of the predictions of age-specific probabilities of death is an essential objective for the insurance industry since it dramatically affects the proper valuation of their products.
David Atance, Ana Debón, Eliseo Navarro
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DemografieThis article discusses the use of the Lee-Carter model, one of the most widely used methods for mortality forecasting. It also discusses its modified versions, namely the cohort and coherent variants, which were developed to improve the forecast accuracy
David Morávek
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Letter from Robert Lee Carter from the Advancement of Colored People (NAACP) to Christopher Columbus Henry, L. A. Ashley, and Ivory M. Davis. The letter states that Carter has not received a reply from Henry regarding his proposed trip to Houston.https://
Carter, Robert Lee
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Risks, 2017 This work proposes a backtesting analysis that compares the Lee–Carter and the Cairns–Blake–Dowd mortality models, employing Italian data. The mortality data come from the Italian National Statistics Institute (ISTAT) database and span the period 1975 ...
Carlo Maccheroni, Samuel Nocito
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Mortality forecasting in Colombia from abridged life tables by sex
Genus, 2018 Background An adequate forecasting model of mortality that allows an analysis of different population changes is a topic of interest for countries in demographic transition.
Gisou Diaz +2 more
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Investigating Mortality Uncertainty Using the Block Bootstrap
Journal of Probability and Statistics, 2010 This paper proposes a block bootstrap method for measuring mortality risk under the Lee-Carter model framework. In order to take account of all sources of risk (the process risk, the parameter risk, and the model risk) properly, a block bootstrap is ...
Xiaoming Liu, W. John Braun
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Race and life expectancy in the USA in the Great Depression
Genus, 2019 Prior work has highlighted increases in life expectancy in the USA during the Great Depression. This contradicts the tenet that life expectancy is positively correlated with human welfare, but it coheres with recent literature on mortality and recessions.
Tim A. Bruckner +3 more
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