Results 11 to 20 of about 16,049,930 (237)

Letter from Robert Lee Carter to L. A. Ashley

open access: yes
Letter from Robert Lee Carter to L. A. Ashley stating that Carter has received his telegram.https://mavmatrix.uta.edu/specialcollections_ivorydaviscivilrightscasepapers/1026/thumbnail ...
Carter, Robert Lee
core   +11 more sources

A Preliminary Investigation of a Single Shock Impact on Italian Mortality Rates Using STMF Data: A Case Study of COVID-19

open access: yesData, 2023
Mortality shocks, such as pandemics, threaten the consolidated longevity improvements, confirmed in the last decades for the majority of western countries.
Maria Francesca Carfora, Albina Orlando
doaj   +1 more source

Iran mortality rates using Lee-Carter model: Estimation and forecasting [PDF]

open access: yesIranian Journal of Insurance Research, 2013
Mortality forecasts are made in two ways: one is indirect forecasting through life expectancy forecasting and then converting it to age-specific death rate, and the second is direct forecasting of mortality rates.
A. Komijani, M. Koosheshi, L. Niakan
doaj   +1 more source

Comparing Stochastic Models for Forecasting Mortality in Malaysia: Lee-Carter, Booth-Maindonald-Smith, and Age-Period-Cohort [PDF]

open access: yesMathematical Sciences and Informatics Journal
The Human Life Table Database (HLD) provided the death rate data utilised in this study. With an emphasis on gender disparities and applying data from 2001 to 2020, this study analyses the problem of selecting the most accurate stochastic ...
Shamshimah Samsuddin   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Estimation of Uncertainty in Mortality Projections Using State-Space Lee-Carter Model

open access: yesMathematics, 2020
The study develops alternatives of the classical Lee-Carter stochastic mortality model in assessment of uncertainty of mortality rates forecasts. We use the Lee-Carter model expressed as linear Gaussian state-space model or state-space model with ...
Rokas Gylys, Jonas Šiaulys
doaj   +1 more source

Convergence in male and female life expectancy: Direction, age pattern, and causes

open access: yesDemographic Research, 2016
Background: The cornerstone of mortality- and life-expectancy forecasting in developed nations, the Lee-Carter model relies on assumptions of there being a dominant singular value that captures most of the variance within a matrix of age-specific ...
Benjamin Seligman   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Deep Learning Integrated Lee–Carter Model

open access: yesRisks, 2019
In the field of mortality, the Lee–Carter based approach can be considered the milestone to forecast mortality rates among stochastic models. We could define a “Lee–Carter model family” that embraces all developments of this model,
Andrea Nigri   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Retiree Mortality Forecasting: A Partial Age-Range or a Full Age-Range Model?

open access: yesRisks, 2020
An essential input of annuity pricing is the future retiree mortality. From observed age-specific mortality data, modeling and forecasting can take place in two routes.
Han Lin Shang, Steven Haberman
doaj   +1 more source

Lee–Carter Mortality Forecasting

open access: yesLithuanian Journal of Statistics, 2012
In this paper, we focus on Lee–Carter mortality forecasting. Model residuals and future mortality trendsare explored. Predictions of the force of mortality for France, Belarus and Lithuania are provided and compared. Severalmodifications of the model are
Eglė Ignatavičiūtė   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Improving mortality forecasting using a hybrid of Lee–Carter and stacking ensemble model

open access: yesBulletin of the National Research Centre, 2023
Background Mortality forecasting is a critical component in various fields, including public health, insurance, and pension planning, where accurate predictions are essential for informed decision-making.
Samuel Asante Gyamerah   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

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