Results 21 to 30 of about 215,025 (259)
Predicting Human Mortality: Quantitative Evaluation of Four Stochastic Models
Risks, 2016 In this paper, we quantitatively compare the forecasts from four different mortality models. We consider one discrete-time model proposed by Lee and Carter (1992) and three continuous-time models: the Wills and Sherris (2011) model, the Feller process ...
Anastasia Novokreshchenova
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Mortality modelling with arrival of additional year of mortality data: Calibration and forecasting [PDF]
Demographic ResearchBACKGROUND: For commonly used mortality models, the existing estimates change with the recalibration of new data. This issue is also known as the lack of the new-data-invariant property.
Kenny Kam Kuen Mok +3 more
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Life Expectancy Changes and Their Consequences for Pension System in Finland and the Czech Republic [PDF]
Statistika: Statistics and Economy Journal, 2023 Finland and the Czech Republic are among the countries where population ageing has been the most pronounced in the last decade. The aim of the paper is to describe future development of life expectancy in the context of pension system reforms that are ...
Ondřej Šimpach
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Risks, 2022 The Lee–Carter model, the dominant mortality projection modeling in the literature, was criticized for its homoscedastic error assumption. This was corrected in extensions to the model based on the assumption that the number of deaths follows Poisson or ...
Yaser Awad, Shaul K. Bar-Lev, Udi Makov
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PEMBUATAN TABEL MORTALIA MELALUI MODEL LEE CARTER
Jurnal LebesgueThe Lee-Carter model, proposed in 1992, is one of the most well-known methodologies for modeling mortality rates. This model is known for its simplicity and has been used successfully in America, Japan, and Australia. Basically, the Lee-Carter model is a
Taofik Hidayat
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Application of Machine Learning to Mortality Modeling and Forecasting
Risks, 2019 Estimation of future mortality rates still plays a central role among life insurers in pricing their products and managing longevity risk. In the literature on mortality modeling, a wide number of stochastic models have been proposed, most of them ...
Susanna Levantesi, Virginia Pizzorusso
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Lee-Carter and the macroeconomy [PDF]
, 2009 Using data for six OECD countries, this paper studies the effect of macroeconomic conditions on the mortality index kt in the well-known Lee-Carter model.
Hanewald, Katja
core +3 more sources
Advanced Energy Materials, EarlyView.This review provides a bottom‐up evaluation of sodium‐ion battery safety, linking material degradation mechanisms, cell engineering parameters, and module/pack assembly. It emphasizes that understanding intrinsic material stability and establishing coordinated engineering control across hierarchical levels are vital for preventing degradation coupling ...
Won‐Gwang Lim +5 more
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Markov-Switching Bayesian Vector Autoregression Model in Mortality Forecasting
Risks, 2023 We apply a Markov-switching Bayesian vector autoregression (MSBVAR) model to mortality forecasting. MSBVAR has not previously been applied in this context, and our results show that it is a promising tool for mortality forecasting. Our model shows better
Wanying Fu +3 more
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Agribusiness, EarlyView.ABSTRACT The penetration of information and communication technologies (ICTs) in farming communities is increasing the use of smartphone‐based instant messaging apps. Despite this, the reasons behind participation and the impact on farm productivity in developing countries remain unexplored.
Zafar Kurbanov +4 more
wiley +1 more source