Results 21 to 30 of about 29,512 (260)

Hindcasts and forecasts of suicide mortality in US: A modeling study.

PLoS Computational Biology, 2023
Deaths by suicide, as well as suicidal ideations, plans and attempts, have been increasing in the US for the past two decades. Deployment of effective interventions would require timely, geographically well-resolved estimates of suicide activity. In this
Sasikiran Kandula, Mark Olfson, Madelyn S Gould, Katherine M Keyes, Jeffrey Shaman   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Evaluating Extensions to Coherent Mortality Forecasting Models

Risks, 2017
Coherent models were developed recently to forecast the mortality of two or more sub-populations simultaneously and to ensure long-term non-divergent mortality forecasts of sub-populations.
Syazreen Shair, Sachi Purcal, Nick Parr
doaj   +1 more source

Forecasting China's mortality

Population Review, 2013
China's life expectancy at birth is currently being debated; the 2010 census data may exaggerate the figure and its rate of increase. In this paper, with an extension of the Lee-Carter method for limited data, we use China's 1982, 1990 and 2000 censuses to forecast the mortality pattern and life expectancy for the 2000 to 2030 period.
Jiang, Quanbao, Song, Wei, Sánchez Barricarte, Jesús Javier   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

The impact of the choice of life table statistics when forecasting mortality

Demographic Research, 2019
Background: Different ways to forecast mortality have been suggested, with many forecasting models based on the extrapolation of age-specific death rates.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Søren Kjærgaard, James E. Oeppen, James W. Vaupel   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Infant Mortality and Inflation in China: Based on the Mixed Frequency VAR Analyses

Frontiers in Public Health, 2022
Reducing neonatal mortality is an important goal in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and with the outbreak of the new crown epidemic and severe global inflation, it is extremely important to explore the relationship between inflation and infant ...
Wei Jiang, Xin-yi Liu
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling and forecasting sex differences in mortality: a sex-ratio approach

Genus, 2018
Female and male life expectancies have converged in most industrialized societies in recent decades. To achieve coherent forecasts between females and males, this convergence needs to be considered when forecasting sex-specific mortality.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher, Vladimir Canudas-Romo, Marius Pascariu, Rune Lindahl-Jacobsen   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Tuberculosis in the Russian Federation: Prognosis and Epidemiological Models in a Situation After the COVID-19 Pandemic

Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health, 2023
Aim Because of the COVID-19 pandemic, many support programs for tuberculosis (TB) patients have been discontinued and TB mass screening activities decreased worldwide, resulting in a decrease in new case detection and an increase in TB deaths (WHO, WHO ...
Anna Starshinova, Ekaterina Belyaeva, Natalia Doktorova, Ilya Korotkevich, Dmitry Kudlay   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Comparing strategies for matching mortality forecasts to the most recently observed data: exploring the trade-off between accuracy and robustness

Genus, 2018
Background Given the increased link between retirement age and payments to the development in life expectancy, a precise and regular forecast of life expectancy is of utmost importance. The choice of the jump-off rates, i.e. the rates in the last year of
Lenny Stoeldraijer, Coen van Duin, Leo van Wissen, Fanny Janssen   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Comparative Analysis of the Forecasted Mortality Rate under Normal Conditions and the COVID-19 Excess Mortality Rate in Malaysia

Journal of Mathematics, 2022
SARS-CoV-2, known as COVID-19, has affected the entire world, resulting in an unexpected death rate as compared to the death probability before the pandemic.
Robiaatul Adawiah Edrus, Zailan Siri, Mohd Azmi Haron, Muhammad Aslam Mohd Safari, Mohammed K. A. Kaabar   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Stochastic modeling of mortality rates and Mortality-at-Risk forecast by taking conditional heteroscedasticity effect into account

Heliyon, 2021
Mortality and mortality rate have become the major issues in insurance industries, for instance, life insurance and pension fund. Such industries will, in particular, be concerned with the quantification of risk attached, say longevity risk, to insurance
Khreshna Syuhada, Arief Hakim
doaj   +1 more source