Results 11 to 20 of about 110,803 (293)
Lee–Carter Mortality Forecasting
Lithuanian Journal of Statistics, 2012 In this paper, we focus on Lee–Carter mortality forecasting. Model residuals and future mortality trendsare explored. Predictions of the force of mortality for France, Belarus and Lithuania are provided and compared. Severalmodifications of the model are
Eglė Ignatavičiūtė +2 more
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ARMA Models for Mortality Forecast
Lithuanian Journal of Statistics, 2016 In the last several decades, many countries have been paying a lot of attention to mortality forecastingbecause of high longevity risk. The purpose of this paper is to analyze mortality characteristics of Baltic countries andmake predictions using ARMA ...
Natalja Šiškina, Jonas Šiaulys
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Smooth constrained mortality forecasting [PDF]
Demographic Research, 2019 Background: Mortality can be forecast by means of parametric models, principal component methods, and smoothing approaches. These methods either impose rigid modeling structures or produce implausible outcomes.
Carlo Giovanni Camarda
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Forecasting Neonatal Mortality in Portugal
Engineering Proceedings, 2023 In order to achieve a more efficient allocation of healthcare resources in the near future, it is crucial to understand the patterns and causes of excess mortality and hospitalizations. Neonatal mortality still poses a significant challenge, particularly
Rodrigo B. Ventura +7 more
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Identification and Forecasting in Mortality Models [PDF]
The Scientific World Journal, 2014 Mortality models often have inbuilt identification issues challenging the statistician. The statistician can choose to work with well-defined freely varying parameters, derived as maximal invariants in this paper, or with ad hoc identified parameters ...
Bent Nielsen, Jens P. Nielsen
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Mortality and life expectancy forecast for (comparatively) high mortality countries [PDF]
Genus, 2018 Background The Lee–Carter method and its later variants are widely accepted extrapolative methods for forecasting mortality and life expectancy in industrial countries due to their simplicity and availability of high quality long time series data ...
Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi +1 more
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Stochastic mortality forecasts for Bangladesh
PLOS ONE, 2022 Mortality forecasts are essential part for policymaking in any aging society. In recent years, methods to model and forecast mortality have improved considerably. Among them, Lee-Carter method is one of the most influential method. In this paper, Lee-Carter method is applied to forecast mortality and life expectancy of Bangladesh.
Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi +1 more
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FinTech, 2023 Longevity is without a doubt on the rise throughout the world due to advances in technology and health. Since 1960, Ghana’s average annual mortality improvement has been about 1.236%.
Samuel Asante Gyamerah +3 more
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A Parametric Factor Model of the Term Structure of Mortality
Econometrics, 2019 The prototypical Lee–Carter mortality model is characterized by a single common time factor that loads differently across age groups. In this paper, we propose a parametric factor model for the term structure of mortality where multiple factors are
Niels Haldrup +1 more
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A Bibliometric Analysis of Research on Stochastic Mortality Modelling and Forecasting
Risks, 2022 Mortality improvements and life expectancies have been increasing in recent decades, leading to growing interest in understanding mortality risk and longevity risk. Studies of mortality forecasting are of interest among actuaries and demographers because
Norkhairunnisa Redzwan, Rozita Ramli
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