Results 31 to 40 of about 1,876,599 (295)

A Two-Population Extension of the Exponential Smoothing State Space Model with a Smoothing Penalisation Scheme

Risks, 2020
The joint modelling of mortality rates for multiple populations has gained increasing popularity in areas such as government planning and insurance pricing.
Yanlin Shi, Sixian Tang, Jackie Li
doaj   +1 more source

Machine Learning for National Mortality Forecasting Using Extreme Heat Events

, 2023
A recent paper utilized a deep learning methodology when analyzing multivariate time series data to forecast mortality in Southern Africa. However, the high distributional variance of the data hindered the performance of the model.
Aran Pandey (16762686)
core   +1 more source

Estimating COVID-19 excess mortality during and after the pandemic: A Bayesian model, with an application to New Zealand [PDF]

Demographic Research
BACKGROUND: COVID-19 excess deaths are a standard measure of the effects of COVID on mortality. They are defined as the difference between actual death counts and the counts that would have been expected in the absence of the pandemic.
John Bryant, Kim Dunstan, Pubudu Senanayake, Lucianne Varn, Junni Zhang   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

The future of life expectancy and life expectancy inequalities in England and Wales: Bayesian spatiotemporal forecasting [PDF]

, 2015
Background - To plan for pensions and health and social services, future mortality and life expectancy need to be forecast. Consistent forecasts for all subnational units within a country are very rare.
Best, Nicky, Bennett, James, Hambly, Peter, Kontis, V, Bennett, JE, Pearson, Clare, Best, N, Li, G, Pearson, Clare Helen, Ezzati, Majid, Foreman, Kyle, Pearson, C, Bennett, James E., Li, Guangquan, Ezzati, M, Kontis, Vasilis, Hambly, P, Foreman, K   +17 more
core   +1 more source

Evaluating the Performance of Variants of the Lee-Carter Method for Mortality Forecasting in the Population Projection of the Czech Republic from the Czech Statistical Office 2023–2100

Demografie
This article discusses the use of the Lee-Carter model, one of the most widely used methods for mortality forecasting. It also discusses its modified versions, namely the cohort and coherent variants, which were developed to improve the forecast accuracy
David Morávek
doaj   +1 more source

Mortality density forecasts: An analysis of six stochastic mortality models [PDF]

Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2009
We investigate the uncertainty of forecasts of future mortality generated by a number of previously proposed stochastic mortality models. We specify fully the stochastic structure of the models to enable them to generate forecasts. Mortality fan charts are then used to compare and contrast the models, with the conclusion that model risk can be ...
Andrew J. G. Cairns, David P. Blake, Kevin Dowd, Guy Coughlan, David Epstein, Marwa Khalaf-Allah   +5 more
openaire   +1 more source

Early Body Mass Index z‐Score Change and Resolution of Severe Malnutrition in Children With Sickle Cell Anemia in a Low‐Income Setting: A Prospective Single‐Arm Extension Study

Pediatric Blood &Cancer, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Background Children with sickle cell anemia (SCA) in low‐income settings are at risk of severe malnutrition, but optimal nutritional management has not been established. We evaluated an intensified ready‐to‐use therapeutic food (RUTF) regimen in children with persistent severe malnutrition after initial treatment and assessed whether early ...
Safiya Gambo, Shehu Umar Abdullahi, Hassan Adam Murtala, Halima Kabir, Khadija A. Shamsu, Sari A. Acra, Virginia A. Stallings, Mark Rodeghier, Michael R. DeBaun, Lauren J. Klein   +9 more
wiley   +1 more source

Comparative Drug Response Profiling in Neuroblastoma Cell Lines and Patient‐Derived Tumor Organoids

Pediatric Blood &Cancer, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT High‐risk neuroblastoma remains a leading cause of pediatric cancer mortality, and improved preclinical models are needed to guide therapeutic developments. We screened seven high‐risk neuroblastoma cell lines and three patient‐derived tumor organoids with 528 compounds alongside bone marrow controls, and compared them with external datasets ...
Krzysztof Wierbiłowicz, Se Whee Sammy Park, Aironas Los, Ernest Liu, Nona Struyf, Tom Erkers, Sören Lehmann, Jan J. Molenaar, Jakob Stenman, Olli Kallioniemi, Päivi Östling, Brinton Seashore‐Ludlow, Kasper Karlsson   +12 more
wiley   +1 more source

Impact of Radiation Therapy on Physical and Psychosocial Health of Adolescents and Young Adults: A Joint Report From the Children's Oncology Group AYA and Radiation Oncology Committees

Pediatric Blood &Cancer, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Rates of cancer among adolescents and young adults (AYA), age 15–39 years, are increasing. Consequently, radiation oncologists are treating more AYAs who have diagnoses spanning both pediatric and adult practices. Compared to pediatric and older adult patients, AYAs face a unique set of challenges.
Hesham Elhalawani, Rachel K. Peterson, Avani D. Rao, Laurie J. McKenzie, Ahmed Magdy Elmotayam, Leslie Chang, Michael Roth, Susan L. McGovern   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Effect of air pollution on the global burden of cardiovascular diseases and forecasting future trends of the related metrics: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

Frontiers in Medicine
BackgroundThis study assesses the worldwide cardiovascular disease (CVD) burden attributed to air pollution, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.MethodsWe explored the impact of air pollution on CVDs globally, regionally, and ...
Qingsong Mao, Xiaoyi Zhu, Xinyi Zhang, Yuzhe Kong   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source