Results 81 to 90 of about 110,803 (293)
Demographic Research, 2011 Using the age- and sex-specific data of 14 developed countries, we compare the point and interval forecast accuracy and bias of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates and life expectancy.
Han Lin Shang +2 more
doaj
Evaluation of simple methods for regional mortality forecasts
Genus, 2018 Background In recent decades, considerable research effort has been dedicated to improving mortality forecasting methods. While making valuable contributions to the literature, the bulk of this research has focused on national populations—yet much ...
Tom Wilson
doaj +1 more source
Point and interval forecasts of mortality rates and life expectancy: A comparison of ten principal component methods [PDF]
Using the age- and sex-specific data of 14 developed countries, we compare the point and interval forecast accuracy and bias of ten principal component methods for forecasting mortality rates and life expectancy.
Han Lin Shang +2 more
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llc: a collection of R functions for fitting a class of Lee-Carter mortality models using iterative fitting algorithms [PDF]
, 2009 We implement a specialised iterative regression methodology in R for the analysis of age-period mortality data based on a class of generalised Lee-Carter (LC) type modelling structures.
Butt, Z., Haberman, S.
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Molecular cancer prevention: Intercepting disease
Molecular Oncology, EarlyView.Oncological practice must evolve, from treating established tumours to proactive cancer interception before clinical manifestation. This will require mechanistic insight into tumour initiation, validated biomarkers of early disease development and redesigned clinical trials, enabling cancer interception to become a core pillar of oncology with the ...
Charlotte Grieco +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Forecasting Mortality Rate Using a Neural Network with Fuzzy Inference System [PDF]
Various methods have been developed to improve mortality forecasts. The authors proposed a neuro-fuzzy model to forecast the mortality. The forecasting of mortality is curried out by an ANFIS model which uses a first order Sugeno-type FIS.
Camelia Ioana Ucenic +4 more
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A State-Space Estimation of the Lee-Carter Mortality Model and Implications for Annuity Pricing
, 2015 In this article we investigate a state-space representation of the Lee-Carter model which is a benchmark stochastic mortality model for forecasting age-specific death rates.
Fung, Man Chung +2 more
core +1 more source
Molecular Oncology, EarlyView.Dormant cancer cells can hide in distant organs for years, evading treatment and the immune system. This review highlights how signals from the surrounding tissue and immune environment keep these cells inactive or trigger their reawakening. Understanding these mechanisms may help develop therapies to eliminate or control dormant cells and prevent ...
Kanishka Tiwary +1 more
wiley +1 more source
The impact of the choice of life table statistics when forecasting mortality
Demographic Research, 2019 Background: Different ways to forecast mortality have been suggested, with many forecasting models based on the extrapolation of age-specific death rates.
Marie-Pier Bergeron-Boucher +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Time Series Properties and Stochastic Forecasts: Some Econometrics of Mortality from the Canadian Laboratory [PDF]
Methods for time series modeling of mortality and stochastic forecasting of life expectancies are explored, using Canadian data. Consideration is given first to alternative indexes of aggregate mortality.
Byron G. Spencer +2 more
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