Results 41 to 50 of about 818 (135)

Default or reactance? Identity priming effects on overconfidence in Germany and Japan [PDF]

open access: yes, 2015
This experimental study measures three types of overconfidence in the decision behavior of participants from Germany and Japan. In the first stage of the experiment subjects completed a Raven Progressive Matrices test and subsequently assessed their test
Duttle, Kai, Shichijo, Tatsuhiro
core  

Three Experimental Accounting Studies [PDF]

open access: yes, 2023
Diese Dissertation umfasst drei Studien. Die erste Studie untersucht Overprecision („Überpräzision“). Ich untersuche, wie Menschen Spannweitenschätzungen vornehmen. Teilnehmende müssen die Größe der Spannweite (Präzision) mit der Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass
Chaskel, Rico
core   +1 more source

Overplacement and Market Entry Decisions: A Modified Market Entry Game to Detect Nascent Entrepreneurs' Goal‐Motivated Reasoning Amid Radical Uncertainties

open access: yesStrategic Change, Volume 35, Issue 2, Page 163-175, March 2026.
ABSTRACT Overplacement, a form of overconfidence characterized by the distorted belief that one is better than others, is considered a key driver of nascent entrepreneurship. The entrepreneurship literature typically associates entrepreneurial overplacement with negative outcomes and attributes it to erroneous information processing. The potential role
Zsófia Vörös   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Overconfidence, incentives and digit ratio [PDF]

open access: yes, 2016
This paper contributes to a better understanding of the biological underpinnings of overconfidence by analyzing performance predictions in the Cognitive Reflection Test with and without monetary incentives.
A Bosch-Domènech   +45 more
core   +1 more source

Inventory record inaccuracy in supply chains: the role of workers’ behavior [PDF]

open access: yes, 2014
Purpose This research aims at exploring the effect of inventory record inaccuracy due to behavioral aspects of workers on the order and inventory variance amplification.
BRUCCOLERI, Manfredi   +2 more
core   +1 more source

The Discouraging Effect of Overconfidence

open access: yesSouthern Economic Journal, Volume 92, Issue 3, Page 716-727, January 2026.
ABSTRACT Overconfidence is often viewed as encouraging entrepreneurs and CEOs to follow risky strategies such as entering new markets, engaging in innovation, or pursuing mergers and acquisitions. While such undertakings can generate excess returns and profits, overconfidence is frequently offered as an explanation for why so many business ventures ...
Cary Deck, Klajdi Bregu
wiley   +1 more source

Overweighting private information: Three measures, one bias? [PDF]

open access: yes, 2010
Overweighting private information is often used to explain various detrimental decisions. In behavioral economics and finance, it is usually modeled as a direct consequence of misperceiving signal reliability. This bias is typically dubbed overconfidence
Fellner, Gerlinde, Krügel, Sebastian
core  

A Behavioral Demonstration of Overconfidence in Judgment [PDF]

open access: yes, 2013
Overprecision—an excessive confidence that one knows the truth—is both the most durable and the least understood form of overconfidence. This article outlines an approach to the study of overprecision that avoids some of the methodological problems of ...
Mannes, Albert E, Moore, Don A
core   +2 more sources

State‐Dependent Relationship Between Cryptocurrency Returns and Credit Spreads

open access: yesEuropean Financial Management, Volume 32, Issue 1, Page 261-287, January 2026.
ABSTRACT This study investigates how overconfident cryptocurrency traders influence the connection between returns and risk premia, proxied by option‐adjusted credit spreads. Using daily data from January 2021 to February 2025, we uncover asymmetry and state dependence: returns decline when spreads widen, particularly during crashes, yet they do not ...
Geul Lee, Doojin Ryu
wiley   +1 more source

Confidence and information usage: Evidence from soil testing in India 

open access: yesAmerican Journal of Agricultural Economics, Volume 107, Issue 5, Page 1406-1437, October 2025.
Abstract Informational barriers are often considered to be a major constraint to the adoption of improved farming practices, inputs, and technologies by smallholder farmers. In the Indian context, it is widely believed that farmers misapply chemical fertilizers because they lack scientific information on soil conditions and corresponding fertilizer ...
Jared Gars   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

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