Results 71 to 80 of about 818 (135)
“Unmotivated bias” and partisan hostility: Empirical evidence [PDF]
, 2019 Extreme partisan animosity has been on the rise in the US and is prevalent around the world. This hostility is typically attributed to social group identity, motivated reasoning, or a combination thereof.
Stone, Daniel F.
core +1 more source
Information use in supply chain forecasting [PDF]
, 2015 Demand forecasting to support supply chain planning is a critical activity, recognized as pivotal in manufacturing and retailing operations where information is shared across functional areas to produce final detailed forecasts.
Fildes, Robert +2 more
core +1 more source
Joy leads to Overconfidence, and a Simple Remedy [PDF]
, 2012 Overconfidence has been identified as a source of suboptimal decision making in many real- life domains, and it often has far-reaching consequences. Here, we demonstrate a causal mechanism that leads to overconfidence and show a simple, effective remedy ...
Koellinger, Ph.D. (Philipp) +1 more
core +2 more sources
Overconfidence in Phishing Email Detection [PDF]
, 2016 This study examines overconfidence in phishing email detection. Researchers believe that overconfidence (i.e., where one’s judgmental confidence exceeds one’s actual performance in decision making) can lead to one’s adopting risky behavior in uncertain ...
Li, Yuan, Rao, H. Raghav, Wang, Jingguo
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Does the Better-Than-Average Effect Show That People Are Overconfident?: An Experiment. [PDF]
We conduct a proper test of the claim that people are overconfident, in the sense that they believe that they are better than others. The results of the experiment we present do not allow us to reject the hypotheses that the data has been generated by ...
Benoît, Jean-Pierre +2 more
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Visual Simulation and Subjective Probability Estimation: When Seeing Is Believing
Despite the volume of research examining overprecision, the underlying drivers of individual differences in probability estimations remain elusive. I propose that visual processing through mental simulation of small samples is a cognitive mechanism ...
Kirshner, Samuel N
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Revisiting the Causes of the Pull-to-Centre Effect: Evidence From China. [PDF]
Front Psychol, 2021 Yang L, Cai D.
europepmc +1 more source
The impact of overconfidence bias on firm performance: an empirical analysis of S&P 1500 firms [PDF]
In the context of public firms competing for profitable growth, there is abundant evidence that a high proportion of strategic decisions are value destructive. When managers make strategic decisions to position their firms for competitive advantage, they
Borchardt, Wayne
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Gap between self-evaluation and actual hand hygiene compliance among health-care workers. [PDF]
J Infect Prev, 2022 Hagiya H +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
SPDI: data model for variants and applications at NCBI. [PDF]
Bioinformatics, 2020 Holmes JB +4 more
europepmc +1 more source